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Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Shenzhen 2028 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League Two Taiyuan University Football Stadium - Artificial grass, Taiyuan
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
07:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai host Shenzhen 2028 in the League Two. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Shanxi Chongde Ronghai have averaged 1.28 scored and 0.76 conceded recently, against Shenzhen 2028's 1.38 scored and 1.24 conceded. Past meetings favor Shenzhen 2028 slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 0.88) point toward Shanxi Chongde Ronghai. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
35%
Draws
32%
Shenzhen 2028
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shanxi Chongde Ronghai come out ahead of Shenzhen 2028 on wins alone.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Shanxi Chongde Ronghai taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Clean Sheet 20%
Shenzhen 2028 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Shenzhen 2028
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.28 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 League Two
Shenzhen 2028 vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 40 / 100
Shenzhen 2028 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Shenzhen 2028

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Shenzhen 2028 let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai VS Shenzhen 2028
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

(Home)
06 Oct
Hangzhou Linping
0 : 0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
19 Sept
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
1 : 0
Guizhou Guiyang
13 Sept
Shenzhen 2028
1 : 0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
22 Aug
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
0 : 0
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
15 Aug
Qingdao Red Lions
1 : 0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Page 1 of 6

Shenzhen 2028

(Away)
06 Oct
Shenzhen 2028
0 : 2
Shandong Taishan B
19 Sept
Dalian Kewei
0 : 0
Shenzhen 2028
13 Sept
Shenzhen 2028
1 : 0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
23 Aug
Shenzhen 2028
0 : 1
Hubei Istar
16 Aug
Wenzhou Professional
1 : 1
Shenzhen 2028
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shanghai Port B 25 14 4 7 40:21 46
2 Guizhou Guiyang 25 14 3 8 34:20 45
3 Shandong Taishan B 25 13 6 6 36:23 45
4 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 25 13 5 7 30:18 44
5 Dalian Kewei 25 11 11 3 24:14 44
6 Shenzhen 2028 25 11 8 6 38:27 41
7 Jiangxi Lushan 25 11 5 9 27:22 38
8 Hangzhou Linping 25 8 12 5 25:30 36
Promotion - League One 2027 (Main)