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Shao Jiang vs Benfica Prediction & H2H Stats

Macao Macao

Elite League 2025
Shao Jiang Logo

Shao Jiang

2 - 1
FT
Benfica Logo

Benfica

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Gonzalez K.
40' Event
Kabiru D.
72' Event
Medina W.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2025 game between Shao Jiang and Benfica finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shao Jiang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Shao Jiang
15%
Draws
24%
Benfica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shao Jiang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Shao Jiang carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Shao Jiang are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • Shao Jiang have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Shao Jiang Clean Sheet 12%
Benfica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shao Jiang Benfica
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 26 12
Draws 2 4
Losses 2 14
Goals Scored 4.73 2.2
Goals Conceded 0.8 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Elite League
Benfica vs Shao Jiang
2:4
Apr 11, 2026 Elite League
Shao Jiang vs Benfica
3:1
Jul 26, 2025 Elite League
Shao Jiang vs Benfica
2:1
Jun 22, 2025 Elite League
Benfica vs Shao Jiang
0:1
Mar 7, 2025 Elite League
Shao Jiang vs Benfica
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shao Jiang Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Medina W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.98
Avg xA / game 1.94

Benfica Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabiru D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shao Jiang 83 / 100
Benfica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shao Jiang Benfica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shao Jiang Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shao Jiang's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Shao Jiang has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Benfica has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shao Jiang VS Benfica
5.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Shao Jiang

(Home)
26 Jul
Gala
0 : 7
Shao Jiang
18 Jul
Cheng Fung
0 : 4
Shao Jiang
10 Jul
Benfica
2 : 4
Shao Jiang
03 Jul
Shao Jiang
14 : 0
Artilheiros
26 Jun
Hang Sai
2 : 5
Shao Jiang
Page 1 of 6

Benfica

(Away)
25 Jul
Benfica
4 : 5
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
10 Jul
Benfica
2 : 4
Shao Jiang
04 Jul
Must IPO
3 : 1
Benfica
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 17 14 2 1 78:10 44
2 Shao Jiang 17 14 1 2 64:13 43
3 University of Macau 17 8 2 7 33:32 26
4 Benfica 17 8 1 8 31:28 25
5 Cheng Fung 17 5 5 7 22:42 20
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)