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Shao Jiang vs Must IPO Prediction & H2H Stats

Macao Macao

Elite League
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Gonzalez L.
16' Event
Almeida V.
45' Event
Botero J.

AI Match Summary

Shao Jiang in this Elite League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shao Jiang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Shao Jiang
15%
Draws
39%
Must IPO
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shao Jiang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Shao Jiang have won more games recently than Must IPO.
  • Shao Jiang are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Shao Jiang Clean Sheet 10%
Must IPO Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shao Jiang Must IPO
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 26 25
Draws 2 2
Losses 2 3
Goals Scored 4.73 4.7
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Elite League
Must IPO vs Shao Jiang
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 Elite League
Shao Jiang vs Must IPO
3:2
Aug 2, 2025 Elite League
Must IPO vs Shao Jiang
1:2
Jun 15, 2025 Elite League
Shao Jiang vs Must IPO
1:2
Mar 28, 2025 Elite League
Shao Jiang vs Must IPO
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shao Jiang Compare

Top Goalscorer Botero J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

Must IPO Compare

Top Goalscorer Almeida V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carissimo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shao Jiang 83 / 100
Must IPO 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shao Jiang Must IPO

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shao Jiang Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shao Jiang's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Shao Jiang remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Must IPO let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Shao Jiang VS Must IPO
5.5 Goals Scored 4.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shao Jiang

(Home)
26 Jul
Gala
0 : 7
Shao Jiang
18 Jul
Cheng Fung
0 : 4
Shao Jiang
10 Jul
Benfica
2 : 4
Shao Jiang
03 Jul
Shao Jiang
14 : 0
Artilheiros
26 Jun
Hang Sai
2 : 5
Shao Jiang
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Must IPO

(Away)
26 Jul
Chiba
0 : 5
Must IPO
17 Jul
Gala
2 : 2
Must IPO
11 Jul
Cheng Fung
1 : 6
Must IPO
04 Jul
Must IPO
3 : 1
Benfica
27 Jun
Artilheiros
1 : 10
Must IPO
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