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Shao Jiang vs University of Macau

Macao Macao

Elite League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Gonzalez K.
76'
Wang Hou K.

AI Match Summary

Shao Jiang in this Elite League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shao Jiang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Shao Jiang
6%
Draws
4%
University of Macau
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shao Jiang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shao Jiang lately — more wins on the board than University of Macau.
  • Win probability leans Shao Jiang's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Elite League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • Shao Jiang have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Shao Jiang Clean Sheet 68%
University of Macau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shao Jiang University of Macau
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 25 4
Draws 3 1
Losses 2 23
Goals Scored 5.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 4.88
Expected Goals (xG) 5.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 4.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Elite League
Shao Jiang vs University of Macau
6:0
Mar 1, 2026 Elite League
University of Macau vs Shao Jiang
1:5
Aug 7, 2025 Elite League
Shao Jiang vs University of Macau
1:0
Jun 29, 2025 Elite League
University of Macau vs Shao Jiang
3:4
Apr 27, 2025 Elite League
Shao Jiang vs University of Macau
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shao Jiang Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 4.23
Avg xA / game 2.75

University of Macau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shao Jiang 95 / 100
University of Macau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shao Jiang University of Macau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shao Jiang scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

University of Macau has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Shao Jiang remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shao Jiang VS University of Macau
5.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 4.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Must IPO17142178:1044
2Shao Jiang17141264:1343
3University of Macau1782733:3226
4Benfica1781831:2825
5Cheng Fung1755722:4220