Sport Picks
Shatin vs Hong Kong FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Hong Kong
League Cup 
Match Events
10'
10'
Kedwards N.
12'
12'
Scott J.
20'
20'
Johns D.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hong Kong FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Hong Kong FC have won more games recently than Shatin.
- 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Hong Kong FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Hong Kong FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Shatin Clean Sheet 12%
Hong Kong FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shatin | Hong Kong FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 29 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 15 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.12 | 2.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 1, 2026 League Cup
Shatin vs Hong Kong FC
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shatin Compare
Top Goalscorer Scott J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lam Hok-Hei
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Hong Kong FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Kedwards N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Johns D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 0.95
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shatin 35 / 100
Hong Kong FC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shatin Hong Kong FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hong Kong FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hong Kong FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Shatin scored in 64% of their last 25 outings.
Hong Kong FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Shatin VS Hong Kong FC
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.29 Goals Conceded 3
71% Over 1.5 100%
71% Over 2.5 88%
57% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Shatin
(Home) 01 Oct
Shatin
2 : 3 Hong Kong FC
19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1 Lee Man Warriors
13 Sept
Shatin
2 : 3 Kowloon City
06 Sept
Shatin
0 : 5 North District
28 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0 Shatin
Page 1 of 5
01 Oct
Shatin
2 : 3 Hong Kong FC
19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1 Lee Man Warriors
13 Sept
Shatin
2 : 3 Kowloon City
06 Sept
Shatin
0 : 5 North District
09 May
Shatin
1 : 1 Dreams Metro Gallery
Page 1 of 3
Hong Kong FC
(Away) 10 Oct
Kitchee
4 : 0 Hong Kong FC
01 Oct
Shatin
2 : 3 Hong Kong FC
19 Sept
Kowloon City
4 : 1 Hong Kong FC
12 Sept
Tai Po
1 : 2 Hong Kong FC
06 Sept
Hong Kong FC
0 : 3 Lee Man Warriors
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Kitchee
4 : 0 Hong Kong FC
01 Oct
Shatin
2 : 3 Hong Kong FC
19 Sept
Kowloon City
4 : 1 Hong Kong FC
12 Sept
Tai Po
1 : 2 Hong Kong FC
22 Aug
Southern District
3 : 2 Hong Kong FC
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Lee Man Warriors -
TBD -
Hong Kong Rangers 1
Tai Po 3
Kowloon City 1
Eastern District 2
Eastern AA 3
Kitchee 1
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
North District 2
Southern District 1
Shatin 2
Hong Kong FC 3
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1/8-finals
Lee Man Warriors -
Tai Po -
Eastern District -
Eastern AA -
TBD -
TBD -
North District -
Hong Kong FC -
TBD -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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