Sport Picks
Match Events
20'
20'
Joao Vitor
30'
30'
Arthur J.
46'
46'
Sub
Chung Wai-Keung In: Yung H. T.
Out: Chung Wai-Keung
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
14%
15%
71%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lee Man Warriors
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Lee Man Warriors come out ahead of Shatin on wins alone.
- 71% — that's where the model lands on Lee Man Warriors taking it.
- Lee Man Warriors arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Lee Man Warriors, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 55%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Shatin Clean Sheet 10%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shatin | Lee Man Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 24 | 31 |
| Wins | 3 | 21 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 2.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.08 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 2.37 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Senior Shield
Shatin vs Lee Man Warriors
0:1
Aug 28, 2026 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Shatin
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shatin Compare
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Lee Man Warriors Compare
Top Goalscorer Yung H. T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.15
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shatin 10 / 100
Lee Man Warriors 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shatin Lee Man Warriors
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lee Man Warriors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Shatin found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (24 games).
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Lee Man Warriors let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.
Recent resilience: Shatin stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Shatin VS Lee Man Warriors
1 Goals Scored 2.13
2.6 Goals Conceded 1.13
80% Over 1.5 63%
80% Over 2.5 63%
60% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Shatin
(Home) 19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1 Lee Man Warriors
13 Sept
Shatin
2 : 3 Kowloon City
06 Sept
Shatin
0 : 5 North District
28 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0 Shatin
21 Aug
Eastern AA
1 : 3 Shatin
Page 1 of 5
19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1 Lee Man Warriors
13 Sept
Shatin
2 : 3 Kowloon City
06 Sept
Shatin
0 : 5 North District
09 May
Shatin
1 : 1 Dreams Metro Gallery
02 May
Shatin
2 : 2 South China
Page 1 of 3
Lee Man Warriors
(Away) 19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1 Lee Man Warriors
11 Sept
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 1 Eastern District
06 Sept
Hong Kong FC
0 : 3 Lee Man Warriors
28 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0 Shatin
23 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0 Kowloon City
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1 Lee Man Warriors
06 Sept
Hong Kong FC
0 : 3 Lee Man Warriors
09 Aug
Pathum United
2 : 2 Lee Man Warriors
10 May
North District
2 : 4 Lee Man Warriors
18 Apr
Kitchee
1 : 4 Lee Man Warriors
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Tai Po -
TBD -
TBD -
Kitchee -
Eastern AA -
TBD -
Southern District 2
Eastern District 1
Hong Kong Rangers -
TBD -
Shatin 0
Lee Man Warriors 1
North District -
TBD -
Kowloon City 4
Hong Kong FC 1
Quarter-finals
Tai Po -
Kitchee -
Eastern AA -
Southern District -
Hong Kong Rangers -
Lee Man Warriors -
North District -
Kowloon City -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
