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Shatin vs North District

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League Hammer Hill Road Sports Ground, Hongkong
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Samuel Granada
(Penalty)
24'
Weverton Gudula
48' Event
Lo Kong-Wai

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Shatin and North District finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward North District.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Shatin
15%
Draws
65%
North District
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North District

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • North District carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans North District's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Shatin Clean Sheet 10%
North District Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shatin North District
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 3 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1 2.2
Goals Conceded 2.08 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 2.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Premier League
Shatin vs North District
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shatin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

North District Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Soares
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lo Kong-Wai
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.95
Avg xA / game 1.19

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shatin 10 / 100
North District 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shatin North District

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North District Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North District let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Shatin's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Recent resilience: Shatin stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shatin VS North District
0.83 Goals Scored 2.13
2.17 Goals Conceded 2.13
67% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Shatin

(Home)
19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1
Lee Man Warriors
13 Sept
Shatin
2 : 3
Kowloon City
06 Sept
Shatin
0 : 5
North District
28 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Shatin
21 Aug
Eastern AA
1 : 3
Shatin
Page 1 of 5

North District

(Away)
13 Sept
North District
5 : 0
Hong Kong Rangers
06 Sept
Shatin
0 : 5
North District
29 Aug
North District
0 : 0
Kitchee
23 Aug
North District
2 : 0
Tai Po
24 May
Eastern District
3 : 2
North District
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lee Man Warriors 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 North District 4 3 1 0 12:0 10
3 Kitchee 4 3 1 0 10:4 10
4 Tai Po 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
5 Southern District 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
6 Eastern District 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
7 Eastern AA 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
8 Shatin 4 1 0 3 5:12 3
9 Hong Kong Rangers 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
10 Kowloon City 4 1 0 3 4:11 3
11 Hong Kong FC 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)