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Shatin vs Tai Po

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Division 1 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shatin in this Division 1 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shatin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Shatin
15%
Draws
57%
Tai Po
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tai Po

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Shatin haven't matched Tai Po's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tai Po a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Shatin Clean Sheet 10%
Tai Po Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shatin Tai Po
Matches Played 24 32
Wins 3 18
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1 1.91
Goals Conceded 2.08 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2010 FA Cup
Tai Po vs Shatin
2:1
Mar 28, 2010 Premier League
Tai Po vs Shatin
0:0
Oct 24, 2009 Premier League
Shatin vs Tai Po
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shatin 22 / 100
Tai Po 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shatin Tai Po

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tai Po Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shatin found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (24 games).

Tai Po's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Tai Po's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Shatin VS Tai Po
0.83 Goals Scored 2.63
2.17 Goals Conceded 1.5
67% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Shatin

(Home)
19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1
Lee Man Warriors
13 Sept
Shatin
2 : 3
Kowloon City
06 Sept
Shatin
0 : 5
North District
28 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Shatin
21 Aug
Eastern AA
1 : 3
Shatin
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Tai Po

(Away)
17 Sept
Adelaide Utd
3 : 0
Tai Po
12 Sept
Tai Po
1 : 2
Hong Kong FC
05 Sept
Tai Po
3 : 2
Hong Kong Rangers
30 Aug
Tai Po
4 : 1
Eastern AA
23 Aug
North District
2 : 0
Tai Po
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