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Sheffield Utd U21 vs Bournemouth U21

England England

Premier League Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Nyarko E.
Assist: Merritt A.
79' Event
Nyarko E.
84' Event
Reid A.
Assist: Hampson O.

AI Match Summary

Bournemouth U21 in this Premier League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Sheffield Utd U21
15%
Draws
48%
Bournemouth U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bournemouth U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bournemouth U21 lately — more wins on the board than Sheffield Utd U21.
  • Model gives Sheffield Utd U21 a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Bournemouth U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bournemouth U21, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Bournemouth U21 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Sheffield Utd U21 Clean Sheet 12%
Bournemouth U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheffield Utd U21 Bournemouth U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.76 2.4
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2026 Professional Development League
Sheffield Utd U21 vs Bournemouth U21
2:3
Jan 27, 2026 Premier League Cup
Sheffield Utd U21 vs Bournemouth U21
1:2
Apr 15, 2025 Professional Development League
Bournemouth U21 vs Sheffield Utd U21
3:1
Apr 19, 2024 Professional Development League
Bournemouth U21 vs Sheffield Utd U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sheffield Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Reid A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Bournemouth U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nyarko E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheffield Utd U21 47 / 100
Bournemouth U21 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheffield Utd U21 Bournemouth U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sheffield Utd U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sheffield Utd U21's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Bournemouth U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Sheffield Utd U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sheffield Utd U21 VS Bournemouth U21
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sheffield Utd U21

(Home)
14 Sept
Sheffield Utd U21
1 : 1
Cardiff U21
01 Sept
Bristol City U21
3 : 1
Sheffield Utd U21
25 Aug
Sheffield Utd U21
3 : 1
West Ham U21
17 Aug
Swansea U21
0 : 2
Sheffield Utd U21
27 Apr
Sheffield Utd U21
1 : 3
Norwich U21
Page 1 of 6

Bournemouth U21

(Away)
12 Sept
Southampton U21
3 : 1
Bournemouth U21
04 Sept
Leicester U21
0 : 1
Bournemouth U21
31 Aug
Bournemouth U21
3 : 1
Middlesbrough U21
21 Aug
Bournemouth U21
2 : 1
Chelsea U21
14 Aug
Cardiff U21
4 : 1
Bournemouth U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Nottingham U21 1
Sunderland U21 6
Watford U21 3
Charlton U21 2
Ipswich U21 2
Blackburn U21 3
Reading U21 5
Stoke City U21 0
Burnley U21 3
Brentford U21 2
Colchester U21 1
Swansea U21 0
Sheffield Utd U21 1
Bournemouth U21 2
West Brom U21 1
QPR U21 0
Quarter-finals
Sunderland U21 3
Watford U21 1
Blackburn U21 3
Reading U21 1
Burnley U21 5
Colchester U21 2
Bournemouth U21 4
West Brom U21 5
Semi-finals
Sunderland U21 4
Blackburn U21 2
Burnley U21 2
West Brom U21 1
Final
Sunderland U21 1
Burnley U21 2