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Sheffield Utd U21 vs Bournemouth U21

England England

Premier League Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Nyarko E.
Assist: Merritt A.
79' Event
Nyarko E.
84' Event
Reid A.
Assist: Hampson O.

AI Match Summary

Bournemouth U21 in this Premier League Cup tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Sheffield Utd U21
33%
Draws
40%
Bournemouth U21
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Bournemouth U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Bournemouth U21 at 2.63 per game, Sheffield Utd U21 at 2.
  • Model gives Bournemouth U21 a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Bournemouth U21, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Bournemouth U21 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Sheffield Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Bournemouth U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheffield Utd U21 Bournemouth U21
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 16 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2 2.63
Goals Conceded 2 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2026 Professional Development League
Sheffield Utd U21 vs Bournemouth U21
2:3
Jan 27, 2026 Premier League Cup
Sheffield Utd U21 vs Bournemouth U21
1:2
Apr 15, 2025 Professional Development League
Bournemouth U21 vs Sheffield Utd U21
3:1
Apr 19, 2024 Professional Development League
Bournemouth U21 vs Sheffield Utd U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sheffield Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Reid A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Bournemouth U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nyarko E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheffield Utd U21 26 / 100
Bournemouth U21 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheffield Utd U21 Bournemouth U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sheffield Utd U21's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Bournemouth U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Sheffield Utd U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sheffield Utd U21 VS Bournemouth U21
2 Goals Scored 2.63
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sheffield Utd U21

(Home)
27 Apr
Sheffield Utd U21
1 : 3
Norwich U21
21 Apr
Sheffield Utd U21
2 : 2
Swansea U21
13 Apr
Sheffield Utd U21
1 : 2
Bristol City U21
31 Mar
Colchester U21
2 : 4
Sheffield Utd U21
27 Mar
Barnsley U21
2 : 2
Sheffield Utd U21
Page 1 of 6

Bournemouth U21

(Away)
10 Jul
Bournemouth U21
2 : 2
Worthing FC
04 May
Huddersfield U21
4 : 1
Bournemouth U21
24 Apr
Bournemouth U21
1 : 0
Wolves U21
14 Apr
Hull City U21
0 : 4
Bournemouth U21
10 Apr
QPR U21
5 : 2
Bournemouth U21
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Nottingham U211
Sunderland U216
Watford U213
Charlton U212
Ipswich U212
Blackburn U213
Reading U215
Stoke City U210
Burnley U213
Brentford U212
Colchester U211
Swansea U210
Sheffield Utd U211
Bournemouth U212
West Brom U211
QPR U210
Quarter-finals
Sunderland U213
Watford U211
Blackburn U213
Reading U211
Burnley U215
Colchester U212
Bournemouth U214
West Brom U215
Semi-finals
Sunderland U214
Blackburn U212
Burnley U212
West Brom U211
Final
Sunderland U211
Burnley U212