Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sheffield Utd vs Bolton

England England

Championship Bramall Lane, Sheffield
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Simons X.
4' Event
Tanganga J.
Assist: Peck S.
39'
Larrazabal G.

AI Match Summary

Sheffield Utd in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sheffield Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Sheffield Utd
15%
Draws
20%
Bolton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sheffield Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Sheffield Utd have won more games recently than Bolton.
  • Win probability leans Sheffield Utd's way, sitting at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sheffield Utd have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Sheffield Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Bolton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheffield Utd Bolton
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.56 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Championship
Sheffield Utd vs Bolton
3:2
Feb 2, 2019 Championship
Sheffield Utd vs Bolton
2:0
Aug 25, 2018 Championship
Bolton vs Sheffield Utd
0:3
Dec 30, 2017 Championship
Sheffield Utd vs Bolton
0:1
Sep 12, 2017 Championship
Bolton vs Sheffield Utd
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sheffield Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanganga J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bamford P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Bolton Compare

Top Goalscorer Simons X.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dalby S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheffield Utd 58 / 100
Bolton 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheffield Utd Bolton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sheffield Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sheffield Utd found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Bolton has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sheffield Utd remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sheffield Utd VS Bolton
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sheffield Utd

(Home)
08 Sept
Blackburn
1 : 2
Sheffield Utd
05 Sept
Sheffield Utd
1 : 3
Norwich
01 Sept
Sheffield Utd
3 : 2
Bolton
29 Aug
Cardiff
2 : 2
Sheffield Utd
25 Aug
Blackburn
1 : 2
Sheffield Utd
Page 1 of 6

Bolton

(Away)
12 Sept
Bolton
1 : 0
Cardiff
08 Sept
Bolton
2 : 3
West Ham
05 Sept
Millwall
4 : 0
Bolton
01 Sept
Sheffield Utd
3 : 2
Bolton
29 Aug
Bolton
0 : 1
Lincoln City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham 7 4 2 1 20:9 14
2 Swansea 7 4 2 1 11:5 14
3 West Brom 7 4 2 1 10:7 14
4 Middlesbrough 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
5 QPR 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
6 Charlton 7 3 3 1 6:7 12
7 Southampton 7 4 2 1 18:8 10
8 Birmingham 7 2 4 1 10:9 10
9 Stoke City 7 3 1 3 11:11 10
10 Bristol City 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
11 Norwich 7 3 0 4 13:13 9
12 Millwall 6 3 0 3 11:11 9
13 Sheffield Utd 6 2 3 1 8:8 9
14 Wolves 5 2 2 1 13:10 8
15 Blackburn 7 2 2 3 10:10 8
16 Lincoln City 6 2 2 2 5:6 8
17 Watford 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
18 Portsmouth 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
19 Wrexham 7 1 4 2 7:11 7
20 Bolton 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
21 Cardiff 7 0 4 3 7:11 4
22 Derby 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
23 Preston 7 1 0 6 6:13 3
24 Burnley 7 0 3 4 8:16 3
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)