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Sheffield Utd vs Mansfield Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

FA Cup 2025/2026 Bramall Lane, Sheffield
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Reed L.
20' Event
Hamer G.
Assist: Soumare D.
44' Event
Reed L.

AI Match Summary

Mansfield in this FA Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sheffield Utd
20%
Draws
50%
Mansfield
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mansfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Sheffield Utd have won more games recently than Mansfield.
  • 50% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Sheffield Utd have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mansfield, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sheffield Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Mansfield Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheffield Utd Mansfield
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.45 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 EFL Cup
Mansfield vs Sheffield Utd
0:3
Jan 11, 2026 FA Cup
Sheffield Utd vs Mansfield
3:4
Jul 19, 2022 Club Friendly
Mansfield vs Sheffield Utd
3:0
Jul 21, 2018 Club Friendly
Mansfield vs Sheffield Utd
0:0
Aug 13, 2014 EFL Cup
Sheffield Utd vs Mansfield
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sheffield Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamer G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bamford P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Mansfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Reed L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Akins L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheffield Utd 32 / 100
Mansfield 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheffield Utd Mansfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mansfield Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Sheffield Utd scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Mansfield's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 26 matches.

Sheffield Utd has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sheffield Utd VS Mansfield
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sheffield Utd

(Home)
19 Sept
Stoke City
2 : 1
Sheffield Utd
16 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 0
Sheffield Utd
13 Sept
Sheffield Utd
0 : 1
Wolves
08 Sept
Blackburn
1 : 2
Sheffield Utd
05 Sept
Sheffield Utd
1 : 3
Norwich
Page 1 of 6

Mansfield

(Away)
19 Sept
Burton
2 : 2
Mansfield
12 Sept
Mansfield
0 : 0
Huddersfield
05 Sept
Bradford City
1 : 0
Mansfield
02 Sept
Reading
5 : 0
Mansfield
30 Aug
Mansfield
5 : 2
Luton
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Wrexham -
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Nottingham -
Ipswich -
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Blackpool 1
Scunthorpe 0
Reading 2
Carlisle 3
Hull City -
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Blackburn -
Charlton -
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Chelsea -
Port Vale 5
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Bromley 1
Bristol Rovers 2
Fleetwood Town 2
Barnet 1
Luton 4
Forest Green 3
Bristol City -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Watford -
Colchester 2
Milton Keynes Dons 3
Oldham 3
Northampton 1
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Oxford Utd -
Everton -
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Sunderland -
Boreham Wood 3
Crawley Town 0
Newport 3
Gillingham 2
Brackley 3
Notts County 2
Burton 6
St. Albans 0
West Ham -
TBD -
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QPR -
Slough Town 2
Altrincham 1
Macclesfield 6
AFC Totton 3
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Crystal Palace -
Sheffield Wed -
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Brentford -
Tranmere 1
Stockport County 3
Cambridge Utd 3
Chester 0
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Birmingham -
Derby -
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Leeds -
Norwich -
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AFC Wimbledon 0
Gateshead 2
Eastleigh 0
Walsall 3
Swansea -
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West Brom -
Tottenham -
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Aston Villa -
Newcastle Utd -
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Bournemouth -
Manchester City -
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Halifax 0
Exeter 2
Wycombe 2
Plymouth 0
Salford 2
Lincoln City 1
Tamworth 0
Leyton Orient 1
Rotherham 1
Swindon 2
Bolton 2
Huddersfield 1
Grimsby 3
Ebbsfleet 1
Wealdstone 1
Southend 0
Chelmsford 4
Braintree 1
Weston-super-Mare 2
Aldershot 1
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton 2
Telford 1
South Shields 1
Shrewsbury 3
Liverpool -
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Peterborough 1
Cardiff 0
Barnsley 3
York City 2
Manchester United -
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Brighton -
Stoke City -
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Coventry -
Fulham -
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Middlesbrough -
Stevenage 0
Chesterfield 1
Crewe 1
Doncaster 2
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Southampton -
Cheltenham 1
Bradford City 0
Buxton 2
Chatham 1
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Leicester -
Burnley -
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Millwall -
Sheffield Utd -
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Gainsborough 1
Accrington 2
Mansfield 3
Harrogate 2
Portsmouth -
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Arsenal -
Preston -
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Wigan 2
Hemel Hempstead 1
Spennymoor 0
Barrow 2
1/64-finals
Wrexham -
TBD -
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Nottingham -
Ipswich -
TBD -
Blackpool 4
Carlisle 1
Hull City -
TBD -
TBD -
Blackburn -
Charlton -
TBD -
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Chelsea -
Port Vale 1
Bristol Rovers 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Luton 2
Bristol City -
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Watford -
Milton Keynes Dons 3
Oldham 1
TBD -
Oxford Utd -
Everton -
TBD -
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Sunderland -
Boreham Wood 3
Newport 0
Brackley 1
Burton 3
West Ham -
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QPR -
Slough Town 1
Macclesfield 3
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Crystal Palace -
Sheffield Wed -
TBD -
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Brentford -
Stockport County 0
Cambridge Utd 1
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Birmingham -
Derby -
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Leeds -
Norwich -
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Gateshead 0
Walsall 2
Swansea -
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West Brom -
Tottenham -
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Aston Villa -
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
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Bournemouth -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Exeter 4
Wycombe 0
Salford 4
Leyton Orient 0
Swindon 4
Bolton 0
Grimsby 4
Wealdstone 0
Chelmsford 0
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wolves -
TBD -
Sutton 1
Shrewsbury 2
Liverpool -
TBD -
Peterborough 0
Barnsley 1
Manchester United -
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Brighton -
Stoke City -
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Coventry -
Fulham -
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Middlesbrough -
Chesterfield 1
Doncaster 2
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Southampton -
Cheltenham 6
Buxton 2
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Leicester -
Burnley -
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Millwall -
Sheffield Utd -
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Accrington 2
Mansfield 3
Portsmouth -
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Arsenal -
Preston -
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Wigan 3
Barrow 2
1/32-finals
Wrexham 4
Nottingham 3
Ipswich 2
Blackpool 1
Hull City 1
Blackburn 0
Charlton 1
Chelsea 5
Port Vale 1
Fleetwood Town 0
Bristol City 5
Watford 1
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Oxford Utd 2
Everton 1
Sunderland 2
Boreham Wood 0
Burton 5
West Ham 2
QPR 1
Macclesfield 2
Crystal Palace 1
Sheffield Wed 0
Brentford 2
Cambridge Utd 2
Birmingham 3
Derby 1
Leeds 3
Norwich 5
Walsall 1
Swansea 2
West Brom 3
Tottenham 1
Aston Villa 2
Newcastle Utd 4
Bournemouth 3
Manchester City 10
Exeter 1
Salford 3
Swindon 2
Grimsby 3
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wolves 6
Shrewsbury 1
Liverpool 4
Barnsley 1
Manchester United 1
Brighton 2
Stoke City 1
Coventry 0
Fulham 3
Middlesbrough 1
Doncaster 2
Southampton 3
Cheltenham 0
Leicester 2
Burnley 5
Millwall 1
Sheffield Utd 3
Mansfield 4
Portsmouth 1
Arsenal 4
Preston 0
Wigan 1
1/16-finals
Wrexham 1
Ipswich 0
Hull City 0
Chelsea 4
Port Vale 1
Bristol City 0
Oxford Utd 0
Sunderland 1
Burton 0
West Ham 1
Macclesfield 0
Brentford 1
Birmingham 1
Leeds 2
Norwich 3
West Brom 1
Aston Villa 1
Newcastle Utd 3
Manchester City 2
Salford 0
Grimsby 0
Wolves 1
Liverpool 3
Brighton 0
Stoke City 1
Fulham 2
Southampton 2
Leicester 1
Burnley 1
Mansfield 2
Arsenal 4
Wigan 0
1/8-finals
Wrexham 2
Chelsea 4
Port Vale 1
Sunderland 0
West Ham 3
Brentford 2
Leeds 3
Norwich 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 3
Wolves 1
Liverpool 3
Fulham 0
Southampton 1
Mansfield 1
Arsenal 2
Quarter-finals
Chelsea 7
Port Vale 0
West Ham 2
Leeds 3
Manchester City 4
Liverpool 0
Southampton 2
Arsenal 1
Semi-finals
Chelsea 1
Leeds 0
Manchester City 2
Southampton 1
Final
Chelsea 0
Manchester City 1