Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sheger Ketema FC vs Ethiopian Insurance

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Kassaw D.
90' Event
Saliso S.

AI Match Summary

Sheger Ketema FC host Ethiopian Insurance in the Premier League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Sheger Ketema FC at 0.5 goals for, 0.75 against; Ethiopian Insurance at 1 for, 0.88 against. Head-to-head, Sheger Ketema FC have won 0 to Ethiopian Insurance's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 3, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (0.69 - 0.88) back Ethiopian Insurance to edge this. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sheger Ketema FC
6%
Draws
4%
Ethiopian Insurance
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sheger Ketema FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ethiopian Insurance demonstrates higher offensive output (1 avg goals) than Sheger Ketema FC (0.5 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Sheger Ketema FC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Sheger Ketema FC Clean Sheet 68%
Ethiopian Insurance Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheger Ketema FC Ethiopian Insurance
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 9 9
Draws 14 14
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 0.5 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 Premier League
Sheger Ketema FC vs Ethiopian Insurance
1:1
Dec 10, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance vs Sheger Ketema FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sheger Ketema FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kassaw D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Ethiopian Insurance Compare

Top Goalscorer Saliso S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheger Ketema FC 95 / 100
Ethiopian Insurance 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheger Ketema FC Ethiopian Insurance

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sheger Ketema FC scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Ethiopian Insurance let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Sheger Ketema FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ethiopian Insurance lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sheger Ketema FC VS Ethiopian Insurance
0.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635