Sport Picks
Match Events
30'
30'
Hughes M.
(Penalty)
39'
39'
Hughes P.
(Penalty)
79'
79'
Hughes P.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-2, with Shelbourne advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shelbourne
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Cherry Orchard haven't matched Shelbourne's recent run of results.
- Shelbourne are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Shelbourne have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Shelbourne, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Shelbourne Clean Sheet 68%
Cherry Orchard Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shelbourne | Cherry Orchard |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 21 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.51 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 24, 2012 FAI Cup
Shelbourne vs Cherry Orchard
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shelbourne Compare
Top Goalscorer Hughes P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Byrne C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Cherry Orchard Compare
Top Goalscorer Hughes M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shelbourne 50 / 100
Cherry Orchard 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shelbourne Cherry Orchard
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Shelbourne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Shelbourne found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (35 games).
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Cherry Orchard let in goals in 76% of their last 21 matches.
Solid form: Shelbourne remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Shelbourne VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Shelbourne
(Home) 18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3 Shelbourne
14 Sept
Shelbourne
1 : 2 Drogheda
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1 Derry City
04 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 0 Shelbourne
28 Aug
Galway United
1 : 1 Shelbourne
Page 1 of 7
14 Sept
Shelbourne
1 : 2 Drogheda
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1 Derry City
13 Aug
Shelbourne
2 : 2 Ajax
09 Aug
Shelbourne
1 : 2 St. Patricks
23 Jul
Shelbourne
5 : 2 Kalju
Page 1 of 4
Cherry Orchard
(Away) 26 Sept
Firhouse
3 : 3 Cherry Orchard
22 Apr
North End United
2 : 0 Cherry Orchard
28 Apr
Bangor Celtic
3 : 2 Cherry Orchard
21 May
Cobh Ramblers
2 : 1 Cherry Orchard
24 Apr
Cherry Orchard
1 : 0 Killester Donnycarney
Page 1 of 5
26 Sept
Firhouse
3 : 3 Cherry Orchard
22 Apr
North End United
2 : 0 Cherry Orchard
28 Apr
Bangor Celtic
3 : 2 Cherry Orchard
21 May
Cobh Ramblers
2 : 1 Cherry Orchard
03 Apr
Killester Donnycarney
1 : 1 Cherry Orchard
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Derry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Phoenix 4
Lucan Utd 3
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Everton AFC -
Salthill -
TBD -
TBD -
Mervue United -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Limerick -
Athlone -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Cherry Orchard 2
Verona 0
TBD -
Longford -
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Patricks CY -
Blarney Utd -
TBD -
College Corinthians 1
Malahide United 2
Avondale United 3
Sheriff YC 1
Clonmel Celtic 0
Kildrum Tigers 1
Drumkeen -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians -
Drogheda -
TBD -
Ballymun Utd 1
Mayfield Utd 2
Douglas Hall 2
Killester Donnycarney 1
TBD -
Wexford -
Monaghan United -
TBD -
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Crumlin Utd 1
Kilbarrack Utd 0
TBD -
St. Patricks -
1/16-finals
Derry City 4
Finn Harps 0
Phoenix 1
UC Dublin 3
Waterford 1
Everton AFC 0
Salthill 0
Mervue United 2
Shamrock Rovers 1
Limerick 0
Athlone 1
Cork City 6
Cherry Orchard 2
Longford 0
Bray 1
Shelbourne 2
Dundalk 1
St. Patricks CY 0
Blarney Utd 1
Malahide United 4
Avondale United 3
Kildrum Tigers 1
Drumkeen 0
Bohemians 5
Drogheda 6
Mayfield Utd 1
Douglas Hall 3
Wexford 4
Monaghan United 3
Sligo Rovers 1
Crumlin Utd 0
St. Patricks 3
1/8-finals
Derry City 1
UC Dublin 0
Waterford 0
Mervue United 4
Shamrock Rovers 2
Cork City 0
Cherry Orchard 2
Shelbourne 3
Dundalk 4
Malahide United 0
Avondale United 0
Bohemians 1
Drogheda 1
Wexford 0
Monaghan United -
St. Patricks -
Quarter-finals
Derry City 7
Mervue United 1
Shamrock Rovers 1
Shelbourne 2
Dundalk 1
Bohemians 0
Drogheda 1
St. Patricks 2
Semi-finals
Derry City 4
Shelbourne 1
Dundalk 0
St. Patricks 3
Final
Derry City 3
St. Patricks 2
