Sport Picks

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Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Tolka Park, Dublin
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shelbourne host Sligo Rovers in the Premier Division. Little to choose between these two on current form. Shelbourne have averaged 1.42 scored and 1.58 conceded recently, against Sligo Rovers's 1 scored and 1.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Shelbourne slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.25 - 1.13) back Shelbourne to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Shelbourne
20%
Draws
0%
Sligo Rovers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shelbourne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Sligo Rovers haven't matched Shelbourne's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Shelbourne a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Shelbourne Clean Sheet 20%
Sligo Rovers Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shelbourne Sligo Rovers
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 11 7
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.42 1
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs Shelbourne
2:2
May 8, 2026 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers
0:0
Mar 21, 2026 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs Shelbourne
0:1
Oct 17, 2025 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers
3:1
Aug 2, 2025 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs Shelbourne
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shelbourne 85 / 100
Sligo Rovers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shelbourne Sligo Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shelbourne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shelbourne scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Sligo Rovers's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Defensive concern: Sligo Rovers conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Shelbourne VS Sligo Rovers
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shelbourne

(Home)
25 Sept
Galway United
1 : 1
Shelbourne
18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3
Shelbourne
14 Sept
Shelbourne
1 : 2
Drogheda
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1
Derry City
04 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 0
Shelbourne
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Sligo Rovers

(Away)
19 Sept
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1
St. Patricks
14 Sept
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Galway United
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0
Sligo Rovers
04 Sept
Waterford
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
28 Aug
Bohemians
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
2 Shamrock Rovers 31 17 8 6 49:31 59
3 Bohemians 31 16 8 7 55:37 56
4 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
5 Dundalk 32 10 11 11 49:53 41
6 Shelbourne 32 9 13 10 42:45 40
7 Galway United 32 9 11 12 42:48 38
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 32 8 10 14 38:51 34
10 Sligo Rovers 32 5 8 19 24:54 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)