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Shelbourne vs St. Patricks - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Tolka Park, Dublin
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Olusanya A.
Assist: Keena A.
10'
Coote A.
12'
Olusanya A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Division game between Shelbourne and St. Patricks finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Patricks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Shelbourne
15%
Draws
40%
St. Patricks
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shelbourne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Shelbourne haven't matched St. Patricks's recent run of results.
  • Shelbourne are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Shelbourne Clean Sheet 14%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shelbourne St. Patricks
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.57 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Shelbourne
1:2
Aug 9, 2026 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs St. Patricks
1:2
May 15, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Shelbourne
0:1
Mar 6, 2026 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs St. Patricks
2:3
Nov 1, 2025 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs St. Patricks
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shelbourne Compare

Top Goalscorer Norris J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

St. Patricks Compare

Top Goalscorer Olusanya A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brown J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shelbourne 35 / 100
St. Patricks 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shelbourne St. Patricks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shelbourne's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

St. Patricks let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Shelbourne has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shelbourne VS St. Patricks
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shelbourne

(Home)
16 Oct
St. Patricks
1 : 2
Shelbourne
09 Oct
Shelbourne
5 : 1
Sligo Rovers
25 Sept
Galway United
1 : 1
Shelbourne
18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3
Shelbourne
14 Sept
Shelbourne
1 : 2
Drogheda
Page 1 of 6

St. Patricks

(Away)
16 Oct
St. Patricks
1 : 2
Shelbourne
19 Sept
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1
St. Patricks
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4
St. Patricks
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2
Bohemians
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 34 19 8 7 54:35 65
2 Bohemians 34 18 8 8 60:41 62
3 St. Patricks 33 17 8 8 53:27 59
4 Shelbourne 34 11 13 10 49:47 46
5 Derry City 33 9 14 10 45:44 41
6 Galway United 33 10 11 12 44:48 41
7 Dundalk 33 10 11 12 50:55 41
8 Drogheda 34 9 10 15 41:54 37
9 Waterford 33 7 13 13 45:56 34
10 Sligo Rovers 33 5 8 20 25:59 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)