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Shelbourne vs St. Patricks

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Tolka Park, Dublin
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Olusanya A.
Assist: Keena A.
10'
Coote A.
12'
Olusanya A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Division game between Shelbourne and St. Patricks finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Patricks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Shelbourne
20%
Draws
58%
St. Patricks
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Patricks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Shelbourne haven't matched St. Patricks's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Shelbourne Clean Sheet 13%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shelbourne St. Patricks
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs St. Patricks
1:2
May 15, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Shelbourne
0:1
Mar 6, 2026 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs St. Patricks
2:3
Nov 1, 2025 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs St. Patricks
0:0
Aug 17, 2025 FAI Cup
St. Patricks vs Shelbourne
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shelbourne Compare

Top Goalscorer Norris J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

St. Patricks Compare

Top Goalscorer Olusanya A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brown J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shelbourne 31 / 100
St. Patricks 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shelbourne St. Patricks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shelbourne's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

St. Patricks let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Shelbourne has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shelbourne VS St. Patricks
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shelbourne

(Home)
09 Aug
Shelbourne
1 : 2
St. Patricks
06 Aug
Ajax
3 : 1
Shelbourne
02 Aug
Waterford
1 : 0
Shelbourne
30 Jul
Kalju
2 : 1
Shelbourne
23 Jul
Shelbourne
5 : 2
Kalju
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St. Patricks

(Away)
09 Aug
Shelbourne
1 : 2
St. Patricks
02 Aug
St. Patricks
1 : 1
Derry City
24 Jul
St. Patricks
1 : 1
Dundalk
17 Jul
St. Patricks
2 : 1
Wexford
14 Jul
Doncaster
4 : 2
St. Patricks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 27 16 6 5 43:24 54
2 St. Patricks 27 13 8 6 43:23 47
3 Bohemians 27 12 8 7 42:31 44
4 Dundalk 27 9 10 8 42:41 37
5 Shelbourne 26 8 10 8 36:38 34
6 Derry City 27 7 12 8 35:32 33
7 Galway United 26 7 9 10 33:40 30
8 Waterford 27 6 10 11 37:48 28
9 Drogheda 27 6 10 11 31:43 28
10 Sligo Rovers 27 5 7 15 23:45 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)