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Shelbourne W vs Waterford W

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National League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Harcourt H.
24' Event
Harcourt H.
27' Event
Harcourt H.

AI Match Summary

The National League Women game between Shelbourne W and Waterford W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shelbourne W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Shelbourne W
6%
Draws
4%
Waterford W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shelbourne W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Shelbourne W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Shelbourne W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shelbourne W here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Shelbourne W Clean Sheet 68%
Waterford W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shelbourne W Waterford W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 4
Draws 4 4
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 3.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 National League Women
Shelbourne W vs Waterford W
3:0
Apr 4, 2026 All-Island Cup Women
Waterford W vs Shelbourne W
2:4
Aug 10, 2025 National League Women
Shelbourne W vs Waterford W
2:1
Mar 15, 2025 National League Women
Waterford W vs Shelbourne W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shelbourne W Compare

Top Goalscorer Harcourt H.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Waterford W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shelbourne W 95 / 100
Waterford W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shelbourne W Waterford W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shelbourne W found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Waterford W conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Shelbourne W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shelbourne W VS Waterford W
3.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Athlone W1072121:923
2Galway United W972015:523
3Shelbourne W1054119:1119
4Shamrock Rovers W1052320:1117
5Treaty United W1043311:715
6Wexford W1035218:1314
7Sligo Rovers W1034317:1613
8Peamount W1032514:2211
9Bohemians W91449:157
10Waterford W101455:167
11DLR Waves W101274:145
12Cork City W101278:225