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Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Havadar SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2025/2026
Thu, Jul 16, 2026
3 - 0
04:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shenavarsazi Qeshm host Havadar SC in the Azadegan League 2025/2026. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Shenavarsazi Qeshm have averaged 0.76 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Havadar SC's 0.9 scored and 0.9 conceded. Head-to-head, Shenavarsazi Qeshm have won 1 to Havadar SC's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 16, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.50 - 1.13) back Havadar SC to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
35%
Draws
6%
Havadar SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shenavarsazi Qeshm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Havadar SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Shenavarsazi Qeshm a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Azadegan League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Shenavarsazi Qeshm Clean Sheet 20%
Havadar SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shenavarsazi Qeshm Havadar SC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 11 13
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.76 0.9
Goals Conceded 1 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Azadegan League
Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Havadar SC
3:0
Dec 29, 2025 Azadegan League
Havadar SC vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shenavarsazi Qeshm 85 / 100
Havadar SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shenavarsazi Qeshm Havadar SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shenavarsazi Qeshm Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Shenavarsazi Qeshm remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Havadar SC registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Shenavarsazi Qeshm's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Shenavarsazi Qeshm VS Havadar SC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shenavarsazi Qeshm

(Home)
04 Oct
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
27 Sept
Fard
0 : 0
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
21 Sept
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
2 : 2
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
15 Sept
Pars Janoobi Jam
0 : 0
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
16 Jul
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
3 : 0
Havadar SC
Page 1 of 6

Havadar SC

(Away)
05 Oct
Havadar SC
0 : 1
Pars Janoobi Jam
28 Sept
Ario Eslamshahr
2 : 0
Havadar SC
22 Sept
Havadar SC
0 : 3
Besat Kermanshah
16 Sept
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 0
Havadar SC
16 Jul
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
3 : 0
Havadar SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazandaran 34 20 9 5 48:17 69
2 Mes Shahr Babak 34 19 11 4 41:14 68
3 Sanat Naft 34 16 12 6 37:21 60
4 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 16 12 6 44:22 60
5 Saipa 34 16 11 7 30:18 59
6 Havadar SC 34 11 17 6 32:23 50
7 Naft Bandar Abbas 34 10 17 7 26:19 47
8 Fard 34 10 16 8 24:15 46
9 Mes Kerman 34 10 15 9 23:18 45
10 Ario Eslamshahr 34 9 16 9 19:18 43
11 Besat Kermanshah 34 9 11 14 25:32 38
12 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 9 10 15 17:34 37
13 Niroye Zamini 34 8 12 14 28:31 36
14 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
15 Naft Gachsaran 34 7 14 13 25:41 35
16 Shahrdari Noshahr 34 5 15 14 18:29 30
17 Navad Urmia 34 4 12 18 16:48 24
18 Damash Gilan 34 2 13 19 16:56 19
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