Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Shahrdari Noshahr Prediction & H2H Stats

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Bahador A.
84'
Bijani M.
84'
Saeedavi M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Azadegan League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
35%
Draws
19%
Shahrdari Noshahr
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shenavarsazi Qeshm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shenavarsazi Qeshm lately — more wins on the board than Shahrdari Noshahr.
  • Model gives Shenavarsazi Qeshm a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Azadegan League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Shenavarsazi Qeshm Clean Sheet 68%
Shahrdari Noshahr Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shenavarsazi Qeshm Shahrdari Noshahr
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 12 13
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.73 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2026 Azadegan League
Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Shahrdari Noshahr
1:1
Sep 4, 2025 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Noshahr vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shenavarsazi Qeshm Compare

Top Goalscorer Kheradnia M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Shahrdari Noshahr Compare

Top Goalscorer Bahador A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shenavarsazi Qeshm 77 / 100
Shahrdari Noshahr 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shenavarsazi Qeshm Shahrdari Noshahr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shenavarsazi Qeshm Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shenavarsazi Qeshm went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Shahrdari Noshahr's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Shenavarsazi Qeshm scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Shenavarsazi Qeshm VS Shahrdari Noshahr
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shenavarsazi Qeshm

(Home)
27 Sept
Fard
0 : 0
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
21 Sept
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
2 : 2
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
15 Sept
Pars Janoobi Jam
0 : 0
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
16 Jul
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
3 : 0
Havadar SC
11 Jul
Ario Eslamshahr
1 : 1
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Page 1 of 6

Shahrdari Noshahr

(Away)
16 Jul
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 0
Shahrdari Noshahr
11 Jul
Shahrdari Noshahr
1 : 1
Niroye Zamini
02 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0
Shahrdari Noshahr
27 Jun
Shahrdari Noshahr
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
21 Jun
Sanat Naft
1 : 1
Shahrdari Noshahr
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazandaran 34 20 9 5 48:17 69
2 Mes Shahr Babak 34 19 11 4 41:14 68
3 Sanat Naft 34 16 12 6 37:21 60
4 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 16 12 6 44:22 60
5 Saipa 34 16 11 7 30:18 59
6 Havadar SC 34 11 17 6 32:23 50
7 Naft Bandar Abbas 34 10 17 7 26:19 47
8 Fard 34 10 16 8 24:15 46
9 Mes Kerman 34 10 15 9 23:18 45
10 Ario Eslamshahr 34 9 16 9 19:18 43
11 Besat Kermanshah 34 9 11 14 25:32 38
12 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 9 10 15 17:34 37
13 Niroye Zamini 34 8 12 14 28:31 36
14 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
15 Naft Gachsaran 34 7 14 13 25:41 35
16 Shahrdari Noshahr 34 5 15 14 18:29 30
17 Navad Urmia 34 4 12 18 16:48 24
18 Damash Gilan 34 2 13 19 16:56 19
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League (Main)
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)