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Shenzhen Juniors vs Guangxi Hengchen

China China

League One Longhua sports center stadium
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AI Match Summary

Shenzhen Juniors play Guangxi Hengchen in the League One. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shenzhen Juniors averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Guangxi Hengchen averaged 1.76 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Shenzhen Juniors won 0, Guangxi Hengchen won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 14, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Shenzhen Juniors and 1.44 for Guangxi Hengchen. This points to a Guangxi Hengchen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Shenzhen Juniors
31%
Draws
43%
Guangxi Hengchen
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Guangxi Hengchen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Shenzhen Juniors picked up more points recently compared to Guangxi Hengchen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Shenzhen Juniors Clean Sheet 16%
Guangxi Hengchen Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shenzhen Juniors Guangxi Hengchen
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 18
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.37 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 League One
Shenzhen Juniors vs Guangxi Hengchen
1:1
Jul 14, 2024 League Two
Guangxi Hengchen vs Shenzhen Juniors
2:2
May 4, 2024 League Two
Shenzhen Juniors vs Guangxi Hengchen
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shenzhen Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Dugalic R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Guangxi Hengchen Compare

Top Goalscorer Ji Tianle
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shenzhen Juniors 27 / 100
Guangxi Hengchen 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shenzhen Juniors Guangxi Hengchen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Guangxi Hengchen or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shenzhen Juniors attacking → ← attacking Guangxi Hengchen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shenzhen Juniors scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Guangxi Hengchen let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Shenzhen Juniors went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Guangxi Hengchen lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 59
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guangdong GZ-Power1383225:1427
2Shenzhen Juniors1373323:1524
3Nantong Zhiyun1365212:923
4Guangxi Hengchen1364319:1322
5Yanbian Longding1356218:1121
6Ningbo Professional1363418:1618
7Nanjing City1353514:1318
8Wuxi Wugou1345421:1617
9Shaanxi Union1244415:916
10Dingnan Ganlian1337318:2116
11Changchun Yatai1361620:2215
12Dalian Kun City1234517:2013
13Meizhou Hakka1342713:2511
14Foshan Nanshi1324715:2610
15Shijiazhuang Gongfu132387:169
16Suzhou Dongwu1323810:196