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Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Chengdu Rongcheng

China China

Super League 2025 Bao'an Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Orr M.
19' Event
Felipe Silva
Assist: Gurfinkel Y.
42'
Sub
Yang Yiming In: Shen H.
Out: Yang Yiming

AI Match Summary

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng host Chengdu Rongcheng in the Super League 2025. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng have averaged 1.63 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Chengdu Rongcheng's 1.75 scored and 0.88 conceded. Past meetings favor Chengdu Rongcheng slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.63, favoring Chengdu Rongcheng. Chengdu Rongcheng in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
22%
Draws
60%
Chengdu Rongcheng
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Chengdu Rongcheng

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Chengdu Rongcheng has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Shenzhen Xinpengcheng.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Chengdu Rongcheng.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super League 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Clean Sheet 14%
Chengdu Rongcheng Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Chengdu Rongcheng
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 3 8
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Chengdu Rongcheng
2:3
Mar 6, 2026 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
5:1
Nov 22, 2025 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Chengdu Rongcheng
1:1
Jun 25, 2025 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
5:0
Aug 9, 2024 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Chengdu Rongcheng
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Compare

Top Goalscorer Orr M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Chengdu Rongcheng Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Silva
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 19 / 100
Chengdu Rongcheng 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Chengdu Rongcheng

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Chengdu Rongcheng let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chengdu Rongcheng lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng VS Chengdu Rongcheng
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shanghai Port30206472:4466
2Shanghai Shenhua30197467:3564
3Chengdu Rongcheng30179460:2860
4Beijing Guoan30176769:4657
5Shandong Taishan30158769:4653
6Tianjin Jinmen Tiger301281040:4144
7Zhejiang Professional301012860:5142
8Yunnan Yukun301191047:5242
9Qingdao West Coast3010101039:4340
10Henan Songshan Longmen301071352:4837
11Dalian Yingbo30991230:4536
12Shenzhen Xinpengcheng30831935:5927
13Wuhan Three Towns30671734:6225
14Qingdao Hainiu305101535:4825
15Meizhou Hakka30561936:7121
16Changchun Yatai30471926:5219