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Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Chengdu Rongcheng

China China

Super League Bao'an Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Wei Shihao
(Penalty)
18'
Dai Wai-Tsun
20'
Hu H.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Shenzhen Xinpengcheng and Chengdu Rongcheng finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chengdu Rongcheng.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
20%
Draws
38%
Chengdu Rongcheng
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Chengdu Rongcheng carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Shenzhen Xinpengcheng's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Chengdu Rongcheng here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Clean Sheet 14%
Chengdu Rongcheng Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Chengdu Rongcheng
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 3 9
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Chengdu Rongcheng
2:3
Mar 6, 2026 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
5:1
Nov 22, 2025 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Chengdu Rongcheng
1:1
Jun 25, 2025 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
5:0
Aug 9, 2024 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Chengdu Rongcheng
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Compare

Top Goalscorer Owusu-Sekyere D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chow T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Chengdu Rongcheng Compare

Top Goalscorer He Yiran
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wei Shihao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 41 / 100
Chengdu Rongcheng 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Chengdu Rongcheng

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Chengdu Rongcheng's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng VS Chengdu Rongcheng
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng19134239:1843
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1978423:2129
3Dalian Yingbo1891828:3228
4Yunnan Yukun1974836:3525
5Qingdao West Coast19510423:2925
6Shandong Taishan1993735:3424
7Beijing Guoan1876530:2422
8Zhejiang Professional1975727:3221
9Liaoning Tieren1863925:3021
10Shenzhen Xinpengcheng19621125:3320
11Shanghai Shenhua1885536:2919
12Henan Songshan Longmen1873823:2318
13Shanghai Port1856728:2616
14Qingdao Hainiu19631030:3614
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1856724:2211
16Wuhan Three Towns1837826:3411