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Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Shandong Taishan

China China

Super League Bao'an Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Yang Yiming
43'
Alvaro P.
45' Event
da Cruz Queiroz Barcelo C.

AI Match Summary

Shandong Taishan in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shandong Taishan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
39%
Draws
30%
Shandong Taishan
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shandong Taishan lately — more wins on the board than Shenzhen Xinpengcheng.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Shandong Taishan have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Clean Sheet 10%
Shandong Taishan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Shandong Taishan
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.75 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Shandong Taishan
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Shandong Taishan
1:3
Apr 11, 2025 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
4:0
Sep 28, 2024 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Shandong Taishan
1:4
May 16, 2024 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Compare

Top Goalscorer Hu Ruibao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Shandong Taishan Compare

Top Goalscorer da Cruz Queiroz Barcelo C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 30 / 100
Shandong Taishan 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Shandong Taishan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shandong Taishan has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng VS Shandong Taishan
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng19134239:1843
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1978423:2129
3Dalian Yingbo1891828:3228
4Yunnan Yukun1974836:3525
5Qingdao West Coast19510423:2925
6Shandong Taishan1993735:3424
7Beijing Guoan1876530:2422
8Zhejiang Professional1975727:3221
9Liaoning Tieren1863925:3021
10Shenzhen Xinpengcheng19621125:3320
11Shanghai Shenhua1885536:2919
12Henan Songshan Longmen1873823:2318
13Shanghai Port1856728:2616
14Qingdao Hainiu19631030:3614
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1856724:2211
16Wuhan Three Towns1837826:3411