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Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Shanghai Port - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

Super League Bao'an Stadium, Shenzhen
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Match Events

8'
Wang Zhenao
43'
Gabriel Xavier
46'
Sub
Zhang Linpeng In: Browning Tyias
Out: Zhang Linpeng

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Shenzhen Xinpengcheng and Shanghai Port finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shanghai Port.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
35%
Draws
44%
Shanghai Port
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shanghai Port

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Shanghai Port carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Shanghai Port a 44% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shanghai Port here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Clean Sheet 13%
Shanghai Port Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Shanghai Port
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Shanghai Port
0:1
Jul 21, 2026 FA Cup
Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2:1
May 6, 2026 Super League
Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1:1
Jun 30, 2025 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Shanghai Port
1:2
Feb 23, 2025 Super League
Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Shanghai Port Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuai Jiwen
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 19 / 100
Shanghai Port 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Shanghai Port

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shanghai Port Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shanghai Port has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng VS Shanghai Port
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

(Home)
09 Oct
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 2
Henan Songshan Longmen
05 Sept
Shandong Taishan
1 : 1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
28 Aug
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0 : 1
Shanghai Port
22 Aug
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1 : 1
Zhejiang Professional
15 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Page 1 of 6

Shanghai Port

(Away)
09 Oct
Zhejiang Professional
2 : 4
Shanghai Port
15 Sept
Ratchaburi
4 : 6
Shanghai Port
05 Sept
Shanghai Port
0 : 0
Beijing Guoan
01 Sept
Shandong Taishan
0 : 3
Shanghai Port
28 Aug
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0 : 1
Shanghai Port
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 27 15 7 5 51:31 52
2 Beijing Guoan 27 12 10 5 52:33 41
3 Dalian Yingbo 26 12 4 10 38:42 40
4 Qingdao West Coast 26 8 14 4 31:32 38
5 Yunnan Yukun 27 11 5 11 55:58 38
6 Shandong Taishan 26 13 4 9 46:43 37
7 Shanghai Port 27 11 8 8 44:35 36
8 Shanghai Shenhua 27 13 5 9 59:47 34
9 Zhejiang Professional 27 10 6 11 47:47 31
10 Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 7 10 9 27:32 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 27 8 5 14 36:47 29
12 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 27 10 8 9 37:32 28
13 Henan Songshan Longmen 27 8 10 9 35:37 28
14 Liaoning Tieren 26 7 4 15 34:47 25
15 Wuhan Three Towns 26 5 11 10 39:46 21
16 Qingdao Hainiu 27 6 3 18 34:56 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)