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Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Shanghai Shenhua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

Super League Bao'an Stadium, Shenzhen
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
07:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng host Shanghai Shenhua in the Super League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.72 conceded recently, against Shanghai Shenhua's 2.04 scored and 1.57 conceded. Past meetings favor Shenzhen Xinpengcheng slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.69) point toward Shanghai Shenhua. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
30%
Draws
42%
Shanghai Shenhua
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shanghai Shenhua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Shenzhen Xinpengcheng haven't matched Shanghai Shenhua's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Shanghai Shenhua a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Clean Sheet 13%
Shanghai Shenhua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Shanghai Shenhua
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 14
Draws 5 3
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.38 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1:2
Oct 31, 2025 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1:0
Jun 14, 2025 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Shanghai Shenhua
3:1
Oct 27, 2024 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2:2
Jul 17, 2024 FA Cup
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Shanghai Shenhua
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 14 / 100
Shanghai Shenhua 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Shanghai Shenhua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shanghai Shenhua Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shanghai Shenhua's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng VS Shanghai Shenhua
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

(Home)
09 Oct
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 2
Henan Songshan Longmen
05 Sept
Shandong Taishan
1 : 1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
28 Aug
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0 : 1
Shanghai Port
22 Aug
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1 : 1
Zhejiang Professional
15 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
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Shanghai Shenhua

(Away)
10 Oct
Shanghai Shenhua
7 : 1
Yunnan Yukun
27 Sept
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 1
Zenit St Petersburg
17 Sept
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 1
Tampines
06 Sept
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 3
Shanghai Shenhua
01 Sept
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 0
Shanghai Shenhua
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 27 15 7 5 51:31 52
2 Dalian Yingbo 27 13 4 10 42:42 43
3 Beijing Guoan 27 12 10 5 52:33 41
4 Shandong Taishan 27 13 5 9 47:44 38
5 Yunnan Yukun 27 11 5 11 55:58 38
6 Qingdao West Coast 27 8 14 5 31:36 38
7 Shanghai Port 27 11 8 8 44:35 36
8 Shanghai Shenhua 27 13 5 9 59:47 34
9 Chongqing Tonglianglong 27 7 11 9 28:33 32
10 Zhejiang Professional 27 10 6 11 47:47 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 27 8 5 14 36:47 29
12 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 27 10 8 9 37:32 28
13 Henan Songshan Longmen 27 8 10 9 35:37 28
14 Liaoning Tieren 27 7 5 15 35:48 26
15 Wuhan Three Towns 27 5 12 10 40:47 22
16 Qingdao Hainiu 27 6 3 18 34:56 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)