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Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Wuhan Three Towns

China China

Super League Bao'an Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Wesley Moraes
Assist: Kartsev E.
32'
Adriano Firmino
38' Event
Benkovic F.
Assist: Dai Wai-Tsun

AI Match Summary

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng host Wuhan Three Towns in the Super League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng have averaged 1.63 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Wuhan Three Towns's 1.5 scored and 1.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Shenzhen Xinpengcheng slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 5:2. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.50, favoring Shenzhen Xinpengcheng. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
20%
Draws
38%
Wuhan Three Towns
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Shenzhen Xinpengcheng has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Wuhan Three Towns.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Shenzhen Xinpengcheng.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Clean Sheet 16%
Wuhan Three Towns Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Wuhan Three Towns
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 4
Draws 3 8
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Wuhan Three Towns
5:2
Oct 24, 2025 Super League
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1:2
Jun 18, 2025 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Wuhan Three Towns
1:2
Aug 3, 2024 Super League
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
4:1
Apr 14, 2024 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Wuhan Three Towns
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Compare

Top Goalscorer Wesley Moraes
2 Goals
Assists Leader Benkovic F.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Wuhan Three Towns Compare

Top Goalscorer Bevis K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 41 / 100
Wuhan Three Towns 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Wuhan Three Towns

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Wuhan Three Towns let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Wuhan Three Towns lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng VS Wuhan Three Towns
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng17132237:1641
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1776421:1927
3Dalian Yingbo1781825:3125
4Shandong Taishan1893634:3124
5Yunnan Yukun1873834:3324
6Qingdao West Coast1759322:2524
7Beijing Guoan1775529:2321
8Liaoning Tieren1762924:2920
9Shanghai Shenhua1785436:2719
10Zhejiang Professional1764723:2917
11Shenzhen Xinpengcheng17521022:3117
12Shanghai Port1755726:2415
13Henan Songshan Longmen1763818:2215
14Qingdao Hainiu1763827:2814
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1746722:228
16Wuhan Three Towns1727824:348