Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2022/2023

Hertford Town

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sheppey United play Hertford Town in the FA Trophy 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sheppey United averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Hertford Town averaged 1.56 goals scored and 2.67 conceded. In past meetings, Sheppey United won 0, Hertford Town won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 13, 2022 ended 3:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Sheppey United and 1.77 for Hertford Town. This points to a Sheppey United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Sheppey United

16%

Draws

41%

Hertford Town

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Sheppey United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Sheppey United picked up more points recently compared to Hertford Town.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.77 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 96%

Over 2.5 Goals 82%

Over 3.5 Goals 49%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

Sheppey United Clean Sheet 11%

Hertford Town Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 86%

Second Half Goal 91%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sheppey United	Hertford Town
Matches Played	30	27
Wins	10	9
Draws	8	1
Losses	12	17
Goals Scored	1.63	1.56
Goals Conceded	2.1	2.67
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2022 FA Trophy

Sheppey United vs Hertford Town

Possession: 51% - 56% Cards: 3 - 3

3:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheppey United 41 / 100

Hertford Town 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sheppey United Hertford Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sheppey United or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.2%

1.32

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sheppey United attacking → ← attacking Hertford Town

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sheppey United scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Hertford Town let in goals in 96% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Sheppey United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Hertford Town lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 28

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.17

2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50