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Shepshed vs Barwell Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
68' Event
Dixon K.
81' Event

AI Match Summary

Barwell in this Club Friendly 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barwell.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Shepshed
15%
Draws
57%
Barwell
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barwell

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Barwell have won more games recently than Shepshed.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Shepshed Clean Sheet 12%
Barwell Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shepshed Barwell
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 5 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 0.93 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Shepshed vs Barwell
1:3
Jul 30, 2022 Club Friendly
Shepshed vs Barwell
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shepshed Compare

Top Goalscorer Dixon K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Barwell Compare

Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 0.96

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shepshed 30 / 100
Barwell 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shepshed Barwell

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barwell Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Barwell conceded in 91% of 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Barwell's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Shepshed scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shepshed VS Barwell
1.33 Goals Scored 1.13
2.33 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shepshed

(Home)
12 Sept
Shifnal Town
3 : 0
Shepshed
04 Sept
Quorn
2 : 1
Shepshed
29 Aug
Carlton Town
2 : 3
Shepshed
13 Sept
Shepshed
0 : 2
Stamford
06 Sept
Shepshed
0 : 4
Anstey Nomads
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Barwell

(Away)
29 Aug
Loughborough Students
1 : 0
Barwell
04 Jul
Quorn
1 : 2
Barwell
25 Apr
Barwell
3 : 1
Stortford
18 Apr
Barwell
0 : 3
Bury Town
11 Apr
Needham Market
2 : 1
Barwell
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