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Sherdor vs Neftchi Fargona

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sherdor play Neftchi Fargona in the Pro Liga 2019. Neftchi Fargona are favorites here. Recently, Sherdor averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Neftchi Fargona averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. In past meetings, Sherdor won 0, Neftchi Fargona won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 6, 2019 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Sherdor and 1.36 for Neftchi Fargona. This points to a Neftchi Fargona double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sherdor
6%
Draws
90%
Neftchi Fargona
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Neftchi Fargona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Neftchi Fargona has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sherdor.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Neftchi Fargona.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Pro Liga 2019 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Sherdor Clean Sheet 18%
Neftchi Fargona Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sherdor Neftchi Fargona
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 22
Draws 2 2
Losses 24 6
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2019 Pro Liga
Sherdor vs Neftchi Fargona
0:2
Sep 18, 2019 Pro Liga
Neftchi Fargona vs Sherdor
3:0
Aug 13, 2019 Pro Liga
Sherdor vs Neftchi Fargona
2:4
May 15, 2019 Pro Liga
Neftchi Fargona vs Sherdor
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sherdor 10 / 100
Neftchi Fargona 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sherdor Neftchi Fargona

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sherdor scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Neftchi Fargona let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Sherdor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Neftchi Fargona lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Neftchi Fargona
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mashal Muborak28167552:2455
2Istiklol Fergana28165764:2853
3Oktepa Tashkent28163962:4251
4Neftchi Fargona281531040:2648
5Shortan Guzor281531055:3648
6Xorazm Urganch28145958:3747
7Sherdor28422239:7514
8Iftixor28122516:1185