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Sherdor vs Xorazm Urganch

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga 2019
Sherdor Logo

Sherdor

2 - 3
FT
Xorazm Urganch Logo

Xorazm Urganch

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sherdor play Xorazm Urganch in the Pro Liga 2019. Xorazm Urganch are favorites here. Recently, Sherdor averaged 1.3 goals scored and 2.67 conceded. Xorazm Urganch averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Sherdor won 1, Xorazm Urganch won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 6, 2019 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Sherdor and 1.11 for Xorazm Urganch. This points to a Xorazm Urganch double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Sherdor
15%
Draws
66%
Xorazm Urganch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Xorazm Urganch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Sherdor picked up more points recently compared to Xorazm Urganch.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Sherdor Clean Sheet 21%
Xorazm Urganch Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sherdor Xorazm Urganch
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 4 11
Draws 2 9
Losses 24 13
Goals Scored 1.3 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2019 Pro Liga
Sherdor vs Xorazm Urganch
2:3
Aug 25, 2019 Pro Liga
Xorazm Urganch vs Sherdor
5:2
Jun 5, 2019 Pro Liga
Sherdor vs Xorazm Urganch
1:3
Apr 10, 2019 Pro Liga
Xorazm Urganch vs Sherdor
2:0
Apr 15, 2018 Uzbekistan Cup
Sherdor vs Xorazm Urganch
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sherdor 21 / 100
Xorazm Urganch 61 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sherdor Xorazm Urganch

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xorazm Urganch Win (2)
Secondary Pick Xorazm Urganch & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +72.7%
9.09
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sherdor attacking → ← attacking Xorazm Urganch

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sherdor scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Xorazm Urganch let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Sherdor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Xorazm Urganch lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

14 Points in last 5 42
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mashal Muborak28167552:2455
2Istiklol Fergana28165764:2853
3Oktepa Tashkent28163962:4251
4Neftchi Fargona281531040:2648
5Shortan Guzor281531055:3648
6Xorazm Urganch28145958:3747
7Sherdor28422239:7514
8Iftixor28122516:1185