Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sheriff Tiraspol 2 vs Falesti

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sheriff Tiraspol 2 in this Liga 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sheriff Tiraspol 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
20%
Draws
30%
Falesti
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Sheriff Tiraspol 2 have won more games recently than Falesti.
  • 50% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sheriff Tiraspol 2 Clean Sheet 14%
Falesti Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheriff Tiraspol 2 Falesti
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.63 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Liga 1
Falesti vs Sheriff Tiraspol 2
2:1
Oct 31, 2025 Liga 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 2 vs Falesti
4:1
Sep 19, 2025 Liga 1
Falesti vs Sheriff Tiraspol 2
0:0
Aug 8, 2025 Liga 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 2 vs Falesti
4:2
Dec 7, 2024 Liga 1
Falesti vs Sheriff Tiraspol 2
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheriff Tiraspol 2 30 / 100
Falesti 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheriff Tiraspol 2 Falesti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sheriff Tiraspol 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Falesti let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Sheriff Tiraspol 2 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Sheriff Tiraspol 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sheriff Tiraspol 2 VS Falesti
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.38
83% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sheriff Tiraspol 2

(Home)
24 Apr
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
2 : 2
Olimp Comrat
17 Apr
Falesti
2 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
10 Apr
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
0 : 1
Zimbru Chisinau 2
03 Apr
Univer Comrat
1 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
21 Mar
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
2 : 0
Victoria
Page 1 of 6

Falesti

(Away)
19 Sept
Falesti
0 : 2
Oguzsport
12 Sept
Victoria
2 : 1
Falesti
01 Sept
Victoria
5 : 3
Falesti
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2
Stauceni
22 Aug
National Ialoveni
0 : 1
Falesti
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stauceni 15 12 2 1 45:12 38
2 Real Sireti 15 11 2 2 52:20 35
3 Univer Comrat 15 9 0 6 33:25 27
4 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 15 4 3 8 18:27 15
5 Olimp Comrat 15 3 1 11 14:44 10
6 Falesti 15 1 2 12 15:49 5
Promotion - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Floresti 15 9 4 2 43:13 31
2 Zimbru Chisinau 2 15 8 3 4 30:25 27
3 Iskra Ribnita 15 8 3 4 29:29 27
4 FCM Ungheni 15 7 3 5 30:22 24
5 Oguzsport 15 2 4 9 17:28 10
6 Victoria 15 2 1 12 17:49 7
Promotion - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)