Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Balti Prediction & H2H Stats

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga Sheriff Arena, Tiraspol
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Asprilla Moreno J.
36' Event
Klas D.
38' Event
Klas D.

AI Match Summary

Sheriff Tiraspol in this Super Liga matchup, with the score ending 7-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sheriff Tiraspol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sheriff Tiraspol
15%
Draws
0%
CSF Balti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sheriff Tiraspol lately — more wins on the board than CSF Balti.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Sheriff Tiraspol taking it.
  • Regular Super Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sheriff Tiraspol have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 20%
CSF Balti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheriff Tiraspol CSF Balti
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 21 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.71 0.69
Goals Conceded 0.89 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Balti
7:0
Aug 2, 2026 Super Liga
CSF Balti vs Sheriff Tiraspol
1:5
Apr 18, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Balti
2:0
Mar 8, 2026 Super Liga
CSF Balti vs Sheriff Tiraspol
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Balti
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sheriff Tiraspol Compare

Top Goalscorer Fratea V.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Klas D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

CSF Balti Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheriff Tiraspol 85 / 100
CSF Balti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheriff Tiraspol CSF Balti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sheriff Tiraspol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSF Balti's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

CSF Balti's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Sheriff Tiraspol's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sheriff Tiraspol VS CSF Balti
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 4
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sheriff Tiraspol

(Home)
20 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
7 : 0
CSF Balti
13 Sept
Milsami
0 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
05 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 2
Petrocub Hincesti
29 Aug
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
23 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 0
Politehnica UTM
Page 1 of 7

CSF Balti

(Away)
20 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
7 : 0
CSF Balti
13 Sept
Dacia Buiucani
3 : 0
CSF Balti
06 Sept
CSF Balti
1 : 3
Milsami
30 Aug
Petrocub Hincesti
3 : 0
CSF Balti
22 Aug
CSF Balti
0 : 4
Zimbru Chisinau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 13 8 4 1 32:10 28
2 Zimbru Chisinau 13 8 2 3 27:12 26
3 Petrocub Hincesti 13 7 3 3 24:13 24
4 Dacia Buiucani 13 6 2 5 17:16 20
5 Milsami 13 4 5 4 13:17 17
6 Politehnica UTM 13 4 3 6 18:19 15
7 Real Sireti 13 0 7 6 8:19 7
8 CSF Balti 13 1 2 10 9:42 5
Promotion - Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super Liga (Relegation Group)