Sport Picks
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Politehnica UTM Prediction & H2H Stats
Moldova
Super Liga Sheriff Arena, Tiraspol 
Match Events
25'
25'
Cojusea M.
28'
28'
Magassouba S.
34'
34'
Cojusea M.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
Sheriff Tiraspol in this Super Liga matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sheriff Tiraspol.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sheriff Tiraspol lately — more wins on the board than Politehnica UTM.
- Model gives Sheriff Tiraspol a 57% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Sheriff Tiraspol have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 17%
Politehnica UTM Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sheriff Tiraspol | Politehnica UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Politehnica UTM
4:0
Jul 4, 2026 Super Liga
Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 Super Liga
Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol
1:2
Aug 10, 2025 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Politehnica UTM
3:0
Jun 22, 2025 Super Liga
Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sheriff Tiraspol Compare
Top Goalscorer Kone S.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Politehnica UTM Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sheriff Tiraspol 84 / 100
Politehnica UTM 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sheriff Tiraspol Politehnica UTM
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sheriff Tiraspol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Politehnica UTM's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Sheriff Tiraspol scored in 76% of their last 33 games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Sheriff Tiraspol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sheriff Tiraspol VS Politehnica UTM
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sheriff Tiraspol
(Home) 20 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
7 : 0 CSF Balti
13 Sept
Milsami
0 : 1 Sheriff Tiraspol
05 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 2 Petrocub Hincesti
29 Aug
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1 Sheriff Tiraspol
23 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 0 Politehnica UTM
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
7 : 0 CSF Balti
05 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 2 Petrocub Hincesti
23 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 0 Politehnica UTM
09 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
1 : 0 Dacia Buiucani
06 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
1 : 3 St. Gallen
Page 1 of 4
Politehnica UTM
(Away) 19 Sept
Politehnica UTM
0 : 1 Petrocub Hincesti
12 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1 Politehnica UTM
05 Sept
Politehnica UTM
2 : 1 Dacia Buiucani
29 Aug
Politehnica UTM
0 : 0 Real Sireti
23 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 0 Politehnica UTM
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1 Politehnica UTM
23 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 0 Politehnica UTM
02 Aug
Petrocub Hincesti
3 : 1 Politehnica UTM
18 Jul
Dacia Buiucani
1 : 5 Politehnica UTM
11 Jul
Real Sireti
1 : 2 Politehnica UTM
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sheriff Tiraspol | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 32:10 | 28 |
| 2 | Zimbru Chisinau | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 27:12 | 26 |
| 3 | Petrocub Hincesti | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 24:13 | 24 |
| 4 | Dacia Buiucani | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 17:16 | 20 |
| 5 | Milsami | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 6 | Politehnica UTM | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | 15 |
| 7 | Real Sireti | 13 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 8:19 | 7 |
| 8 | CSF Balti | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9:42 | 5 |
Promotion - Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
