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Shevardeni Tbilisi vs Samtredia

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022
Sun, Jul 3, 2022
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shevardeni Tbilisi play Samtredia in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shevardeni Tbilisi averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Samtredia averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. In past meetings, Shevardeni Tbilisi won 1, Samtredia won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Dec 2, 2022 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Shevardeni Tbilisi and 1.05 for Samtredia. This points to a Shevardeni Tbilisi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Shevardeni Tbilisi
31%
Draws
33%
Samtredia
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Shevardeni Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Shevardeni Tbilisi picked up more points recently compared to Samtredia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.05 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Shevardeni Tbilisi Clean Sheet 22%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shevardeni Tbilisi Samtredia
Matches Played 7 31
Wins 2 8
Draws 1 6
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 1.14 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 2, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shevardeni Tbilisi vs Samtredia
0:0
Oct 3, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Shevardeni Tbilisi
0:0
Jul 3, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shevardeni Tbilisi vs Samtredia
0:0
Apr 28, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Shevardeni Tbilisi
1:2
Oct 18, 2019 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shevardeni Tbilisi vs Samtredia
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shevardeni Tbilisi 37 / 100
Samtredia 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shevardeni Tbilisi Samtredia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Shevardeni Tbilisi or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shevardeni Tbilisi attacking → ← attacking Samtredia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shevardeni Tbilisi scored in 71% of their last 7 games.

Samtredia let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Shevardeni Tbilisi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Samtredia lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 30
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shukura28193652:2360
2Spaeri28156757:3551
3Samtredia28146843:2848
4Merani Martvili281261055:5342
5FC Gareji Sagarejo281061238:3636
6Merani Tbilisi281041434:5634
7FC Rustavi28651734:5423
8WIT Georgia28561730:5821
9FC Zugdidi00000:00
10Shevardeni Tbilisi00000:00