Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2025/2026

Chasetown

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Shifnal Town play Chasetown in the FA Trophy 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shifnal Town averaged 0.92 goals scored and 1.08 conceded. Chasetown averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. In past meetings, Shifnal Town won 1, Chasetown won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 6, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Shifnal Town and 0.88 for Chasetown. This points to a Chasetown double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Shifnal Town

15%

Draws

48%

Chasetown

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chasetown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Shifnal Town picked up more points recently compared to Chasetown.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 44%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Shifnal Town Clean Sheet 25%

Chasetown Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shifnal Town	Chasetown
Matches Played	13	28
Wins	4	15
Draws	4	2
Losses	5	11
Goals Scored	0.92	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.08	1.29
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 FA Trophy

Shifnal Town vs Chasetown

Possession: 53% - 51% Cards: 0 - 1

1:0

Jul 25, 2023 Club Friendly

Shifnal Town vs Chasetown

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 4 - 4

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shifnal Town 38 / 100

Chasetown 46 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shifnal Town Chasetown

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Chasetown or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.7%

2.63

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shifnal Town attacking → ← attacking Chasetown

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shifnal Town scored in 69% of their last 13 games.

Chasetown let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Shifnal Town went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chasetown lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 47

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25