Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shimal vs Difai Agsu

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa 2025/2026
Shimal Logo

Shimal

0 - 1
FT
Difai Agsu Logo

Difai Agsu

Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Ondo W.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa 2025/2026 game between Shimal and Difai Agsu finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Difai Agsu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Shimal
30%
Draws
29%
Difai Agsu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shimal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Shimal have managed 0.9 goals a game lately — Difai Agsu are scoring more at 1.13.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Shimal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Difai Agsu here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Shimal Clean Sheet 20%
Difai Agsu Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shimal Difai Agsu
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0.9 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.21 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 I Liqa
Shimal vs Difai Agsu
0:1
Feb 13, 2026 I Liqa
Difai Agsu vs Shimal
3:1
Oct 22, 2025 I Liqa
Shimal vs Difai Agsu
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shimal Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Difai Agsu Compare

Top Goalscorer Ondo W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shimal 85 / 100
Difai Agsu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shimal Difai Agsu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shimal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difai Agsu has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Shimal remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Shimal scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shimal VS Difai Agsu
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shimal

(Home)
11 Sept
MOIK Baku
1 : 1
Shimal
04 Sept
Shimal
1 : 2
Gancabasar
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
21 May
Gancabasar
2 : 3
Shimal
14 May
Shimal
0 : 1
Difai Agsu
Page 1 of 6

Difai Agsu

(Away)
21 May
MOIK Baku
4 : 0
Difai Agsu
14 May
Shimal
0 : 1
Difai Agsu
06 May
Difai Agsu
0 : 0
Safa Baku
30 Apr
Baku Sporting
1 : 1
Difai Agsu
23 Apr
Difai Agsu
0 : 4
Sabail
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Safa Baku 27 16 9 2 52:21 57
2 Mingachevir 27 15 6 6 55:27 51
3 Sabail 27 14 8 5 46:21 50
4 Baku Sporting 27 13 10 4 40:23 49
5 Sahdag Qusar 27 12 7 8 36:27 43
6 MOIK Baku 27 9 6 12 33:40 33
7 Zaqatala PFK 27 8 4 15 27:44 28
8 Gancabasar 27 7 3 17 40:56 24
9 Shimal 27 5 5 17 23:61 20
10 Difai Agsu 27 4 6 17 28:60 18
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2025/2026 (Relegation)