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Stadium Background

Shimal vs Difai Agsu

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Ondo W.

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa game between Shimal and Difai Agsu finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Difai Agsu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Shimal
6%
Draws
4%
Difai Agsu
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shimal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Shimal haven't matched Difai Agsu's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Shimal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Difai Agsu here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Shimal Clean Sheet 20%
Difai Agsu Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shimal Difai Agsu
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 0.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 I Liqa
Shimal vs Difai Agsu
0:1
Feb 13, 2026 I Liqa
Difai Agsu vs Shimal
3:1
Oct 22, 2025 I Liqa
Shimal vs Difai Agsu
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shimal Compare

Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Difai Agsu Compare

Top Goalscorer Ondo W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shimal 85 / 100
Difai Agsu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shimal Difai Agsu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difai Agsu has conceded goals in 94% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Shimal remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Shimal scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shimal VS Difai Agsu
0.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shimal

(Home)
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
21 May
Cebrayil
2 : 3
Shimal
14 May
Shimal
0 : 1
Difai Agsu
06 May
Shimal
1 : 1
MOIK Baku
29 Apr
Safa Baku
0 : 0
Shimal
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Difai Agsu

(Away)
21 May
MOIK Baku
4 : 0
Difai Agsu
14 May
Shimal
0 : 1
Difai Agsu
06 May
Difai Agsu
0 : 0
Safa Baku
30 Apr
Baku Sporting
1 : 1
Difai Agsu
23 Apr
Difai Agsu
0 : 4
Sabail
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Safa Baku27169252:2157
2Mingachevir27156655:2751
3Sabail27148546:2150
4Baku Sporting271310440:2349
5Sahdag Qusar27127836:2743
6MOIK Baku27961233:4033
7Zaqatala PFK27841527:4428
8Cebrayil27731740:5624
9Shimal27551723:6120
10Difai Agsu27461728:6018
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)