Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shimal vs Gancabasar

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Achimi D.
42' Event
Osmanov N.
76' Event
Achimi D.

AI Match Summary

Gancabasar in this I Liqa matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gancabasar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Shimal
15%
Draws
48%
Gancabasar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gancabasar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Shimal haven't matched Gancabasar's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Shimal a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular I Liqa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Shimal Clean Sheet 16%
Gancabasar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shimal Gancabasar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 5 3
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 0.9 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.27 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 I Liqa
Shimal vs Gancabasar
1:2
May 21, 2026 I Liqa
Gancabasar vs Shimal
2:3
Feb 24, 2026 I Liqa
Shimal vs Gancabasar
3:2
Nov 20, 2025 I Liqa
Gancabasar vs Shimal
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shimal Compare

Top Goalscorer Osmanov N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Gancabasar Compare

Top Goalscorer Achimi D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shimal 84 / 100
Gancabasar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shimal Gancabasar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shimal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gancabasar has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Shimal has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Shimal scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Shimal VS Gancabasar
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shimal

(Home)
17 Sept
Shimal
1 : 4
Sahdag Qusar
11 Sept
MOIK Baku
1 : 1
Shimal
04 Sept
Shimal
1 : 2
Gancabasar
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
21 May
Gancabasar
2 : 3
Shimal
Page 1 of 6

Gancabasar

(Away)
17 Sept
Mingachevir
0 : 3
Gancabasar
10 Sept
Gancabasar
2 : 1
FC Khankendi
04 Sept
Shimal
1 : 2
Gancabasar
21 May
Gancabasar
2 : 3
Shimal
15 May
Safa Baku
1 : 0
Gancabasar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sahdag Qusar 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Gancabasar 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
3 Sabail 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
4 Karvan 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
5 MOIK Baku 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
6 Zaqatala PFK 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
7 FC Khankendi 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
8 Mingachevir 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
9 Shimal 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
10 Baku Sporting 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)