Sport Picks
Shimal vs Sahdag Qusar
Azerbaijan
Azerbaijan Cup 
Match Events
102'
102'
Aliyev S.
117'
117'
Agalarov S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
35%
38%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sahdag Qusar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Sahdag Qusar have won more games recently than Shimal.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Sahdag Qusar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Sahdag Qusar, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Sahdag Qusar have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Shimal Clean Sheet 19%
Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shimal | Sahdag Qusar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 19 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.23 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2026 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Shimal
1:0
Feb 19, 2026 I Liqa
Shimal vs Sahdag Qusar
0:1
Nov 6, 2025 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Shimal
4:2
Oct 29, 2025 Azerbaijan Cup
Shimal vs Sahdag Qusar
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shimal Compare
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13
Sahdag Qusar Compare
Top Goalscorer Aliyev S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Agalarov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shimal 32 / 100
Sahdag Qusar 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shimal Sahdag Qusar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Sahdag Qusar conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Shimal remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Shimal found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
Shimal VS Sahdag Qusar
0.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.25
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Shimal
(Home) 27 May
Shimal
2 : 1 Lokbatan
21 May
Cebrayil
2 : 3 Shimal
14 May
Shimal
0 : 1 Difai Agsu
06 May
Shimal
1 : 1 MOIK Baku
29 Apr
Safa Baku
0 : 0 Shimal
Page 1 of 6
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1 Lokbatan
14 May
Shimal
0 : 1 Difai Agsu
06 May
Shimal
1 : 1 MOIK Baku
23 Apr
Shimal
1 : 0 Baku Sporting
09 Apr
Shimal
0 : 3 Mingachevir
Page 1 of 4
Sahdag Qusar
(Away) 22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1 Baku Sporting
15 May
Sabail
0 : 0 Sahdag Qusar
05 May
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0 Mingachevir
29 Apr
MOIK Baku
0 : 1 Sahdag Qusar
22 Apr
Zaqatala PFK
0 : 1 Sahdag Qusar
Page 1 of 6
15 May
Sabail
0 : 0 Sahdag Qusar
29 Apr
MOIK Baku
0 : 1 Sahdag Qusar
22 Apr
Zaqatala PFK
0 : 1 Sahdag Qusar
09 Apr
Difai Agsu
0 : 3 Sahdag Qusar
18 Mar
Safa Baku
1 : 0 Sahdag Qusar
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Sabail 0
Shamakhi 1
Goygol 0
Baku Sporting 2
Qarabag Agdam -
TBD -
Karvan 3
Sheki City 1
Lokbatan 2
Imisli FK 3
TBD -
Sabah Baku -
Gabala 5
Mingachevir 1
Cebrayil 0
Safa Baku 3
Shimal 0
Sahdag Qusar 2
Dinamo Baki 0
Turan 5
Araz PFK -
TBD -
Kapaz 6
Agstafa Gencleri 1
FC Khankendi 1
Difai Agsu 2
Zaqatala PFK 0
SumQayit FK 3
Zira FK -
TBD -
Neftci Baku 6
MOIK Baku 2
1/8-finals
Shamakhi 1
Baku Sporting 0
Qarabag Agdam 3
Karvan 0
Imisli FK 1
Sabah Baku 2
Gabala 2
Safa Baku 1
Sahdag Qusar 1
Turan 2
Araz PFK 0
Kapaz 1
Difai Agsu 1
SumQayit FK 3
Zira FK 1
Neftci Baku 0
Quarter-finals
Shamakhi 3
Qarabag Agdam 4
Sabah Baku 4
Gabala 3
Turan 3
Kapaz 0
SumQayit FK 0
Zira FK 2
Semi-finals
Qarabag Agdam 3
Sabah Baku 4
Turan 0
Zira FK 2
Final
Sabah Baku 2
Zira FK 1
