Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shimal vs Zaqatala PFK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shimal host Zaqatala PFK in the I Liqa. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Shimal have averaged 1.17 scored and 2.3 conceded recently, against Zaqatala PFK's 0.97 scored and 2.03 conceded. Head-to-head, Shimal have won 1 to Zaqatala PFK's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 19, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (2.69 xG vs 1.38) point toward Shimal. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Shimal
20%
Draws
10%
Zaqatala PFK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shimal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Shimal have won more games recently than Zaqatala PFK.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Shimal taking it.
  • Regular I Liqa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Shimal Clean Sheet 17%
Zaqatala PFK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shimal Zaqatala PFK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.17 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.3 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 I Liqa
Shimal vs Zaqatala PFK
0:0
Mar 5, 2026 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Shimal
3:4
Nov 26, 2025 I Liqa
Shimal vs Zaqatala PFK
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shimal 84 / 100
Zaqatala PFK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shimal Zaqatala PFK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shimal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zaqatala PFK has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Shimal stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Zaqatala PFK lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shimal VS Zaqatala PFK
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shimal

(Home)
05 Nov
Karvan
4 : 1
Shimal
27 Oct
Shimal
0 : 6
Araz PFK
22 Oct
Shimal
5 : 2
Baku Sporting
15 Oct
Mingachevir
1 : 4
Shimal
09 Oct
Shimal
1 : 1
FC Khankendi
Page 1 of 6

Zaqatala PFK

(Away)
05 Nov
Zaqatala PFK
1 : 1
MOIK Baku
27 Oct
Marafon
1 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
22 Oct
Gancabasar
7 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
15 Oct
Zaqatala PFK
1 : 3
Sabail
07 Oct
Sahdag Qusar
6 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gancabasar 7 5 1 1 19:6 16
2 Sahdag Qusar 6 5 0 1 14:2 15
3 MOIK Baku 7 4 2 1 13:5 14
4 Karvan 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
5 Sabail 7 3 3 1 10:7 12
6 Shimal 7 2 2 3 14:15 8
7 FC Khankendi 7 1 3 3 5:8 6
8 Zaqatala PFK 7 1 2 4 7:22 5
9 Mingachevir 6 1 1 4 5:14 4
10 Baku Sporting 7 0 1 6 4:18 1
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)