Sport Picks
Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Tokyo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J1 League IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Tsuji Y. In: Fujii T.
Out: Tsuji Y.
50'
50'
Anzai S.
Assist: Nagakura M.
53'
53'
Kinoshita K.
AI Match Summary
The J1 League game between Shimizu S-Pulse and FC Tokyo finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
15%
47%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Tokyo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and FC Tokyo come out ahead of Shimizu S-Pulse on wins alone.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on FC Tokyo taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Shimizu S-Pulse Clean Sheet 23%
FC Tokyo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shimizu S-Pulse | FC Tokyo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 18 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.22 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 J1 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Tokyo
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 J1 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Tokyo
1:1
Apr 29, 2025 J1 League
FC Tokyo vs Shimizu S-Pulse
0:2
Aug 7, 2022 J1 League
FC Tokyo vs Shimizu S-Pulse
0:2
May 25, 2022 J1 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Tokyo
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shimizu S-Pulse Compare
Top Goalscorer Kinoshita K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
FC Tokyo Compare
Top Goalscorer Anzai S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shimizu S-Pulse 24 / 100
FC Tokyo 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shimizu S-Pulse FC Tokyo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Tokyo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Shimizu S-Pulse scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Shimizu S-Pulse stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: FC Tokyo conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Shimizu S-Pulse VS FC Tokyo
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Shimizu S-Pulse
(Home) 07 Oct
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 V-Varen Nagasaki
29 Sept
Kanazawa
0 : 2 Shimizu S-Pulse
19 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 Chiba
12 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 0 Avispa Fukuoka
06 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 V-Varen Nagasaki
19 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 Chiba
12 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 0 Avispa Fukuoka
02 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 1 FC Tokyo
29 Aug
Shimizu S-Pulse
0 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol
Page 1 of 3
FC Tokyo
(Away) 10 Oct
FC Tokyo
3 : 0 Urawa Reds
07 Oct
FC Tokyo
4 : 0 Shonan Bellmare
29 Sept
Ehime
0 : 2 FC Tokyo
19 Sept
FC Tokyo
1 : 0 Nagoya Grampus
12 Sept
Gamba Osaka
0 : 2 FC Tokyo
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Ehime
0 : 2 FC Tokyo
12 Sept
Gamba Osaka
0 : 2 FC Tokyo
02 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 1 FC Tokyo
29 Aug
V-Varen Nagasaki
0 : 3 FC Tokyo
15 Aug
Vissel Kobe
2 : 2 FC Tokyo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 2 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | 20 |
| 3 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 19 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Reds | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:21 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | 12 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 19 | Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 20 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
