Sport Picks

Shimizu S-Pulse vs V-Varen Nagasaki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan

Emperors Cup IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka

Shimizu S-Pulse

Wed, Oct 7, 2026

2 - 1

10:00 AM

V-Varen Nagasaki

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Sub

Won Du-Jae In: Dieguinho

Out: Won Du-Jae

13'

Kitagawa K.

27'

Egawa Y.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%

Shimizu S-Pulse

15%

Draws

31%

V-Varen Nagasaki

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shimizu S-Pulse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence

Shimizu S-Pulse carry the better recent record into this one.
Shimizu S-Pulse are the model's pick here, at 70%.
Shimizu S-Pulse have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor V-Varen Nagasaki, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Shimizu S-Pulse Clean Sheet 68%

V-Varen Nagasaki Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shimizu S-Pulse	V-Varen Nagasaki
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	14	11
Draws	3	2
Losses	11	16
Goals Scored	1.32	1.17
Goals Conceded	1.21	1.62
Expected Goals (xG)	1.20	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Emperors Cup

Shimizu S-Pulse vs V-Varen Nagasaki

2:1

Apr 29, 2026 J1 League

Shimizu S-Pulse vs V-Varen Nagasaki

1:2

Apr 5, 2026 J1 League

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Shimizu S-Pulse

0:3

Sep 7, 2024 J2 League

Shimizu S-Pulse vs V-Varen Nagasaki

1:1

Mar 10, 2024 J2 League

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Shimizu S-Pulse

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shimizu S-Pulse Compare

Top Goalscorer Kitagawa K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Yumiba M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.6

V-Varen Nagasaki Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiago

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shimizu S-Pulse 77 / 100

V-Varen Nagasaki 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shimizu S-Pulse V-Varen Nagasaki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shimizu S-Pulse Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shimizu S-Pulse's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: V-Varen Nagasaki conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Shimizu S-Pulse has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shimizu S-Pulse VS V-Varen Nagasaki

1.13 Goals Scored 1.25

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63

63% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shimizu S-Pulse

(Home)

07 Oct

Shimizu S-Pulse

2 : 1

V-Varen Nagasaki

29 Sept

Kanazawa

0 : 2

Shimizu S-Pulse

19 Sept

Shimizu S-Pulse

2 : 1

Chiba

12 Sept

Shimizu S-Pulse

1 : 0

Avispa Fukuoka

06 Sept

Kawasaki Frontale

3 : 1

Shimizu S-Pulse

Page 1 of 6

V-Varen Nagasaki

(Away)

07 Oct

Shimizu S-Pulse

2 : 1

V-Varen Nagasaki

29 Sept

Gainare Tottori

2 : 0

V-Varen Nagasaki

19 Sept

V-Varen Nagasaki

1 : 1

Cerezo Osaka

12 Sept

V-Varen Nagasaki

2 : 0

Nagoya Grampus

09 Sept

Kochi United

0 : 1

V-Varen Nagasaki

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Kashima Antlers -

TBD -

Atletico Suzuka 2

Basara Hyogo 1

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -

TBD -

Kofu -

Nagoya Grampus -

TBD -

Gainare Tottori 3

Kumamoto 2

Verdy -

TBD -

Tohoku Gakuin University 1

Thespakusatsu Gunma 3

Kawasaki Frontale -

TBD -

Tochigi SC 2

Urayasu SC 0

Iwata -

TBD -

Tegevajaro Miyazaki -

Gamba Osaka -

TBD -

Reilac Shiga 2

Japan Soccer 1

Tokushima -

TBD -

FC Tokushima 1

Kawasoe Club 0

Sanfrecce Hiroshima -

TBD -

Giravanz Kitakyushu 1

Okinawa 2

Iwaki -

TBD -

Oita Trinita -

Okayama -

TBD -

Belugarosso Iwami 2

Nagasaki Intl University 0

Chiba -

TBD -

Arterivo Wakayama 0

Azul Claro Numazu 6

Vissel Kobe -

TBD -

Veroskronos Tsuno 3

Kamatamare Sanuki 1

Sagan Tosu -

TBD -

Toyama -

Avispa Fukuoka -

TBD -

Verspah Oita 3

Kochi United 0

Yokohama FC -

TBD -

Ryutsu Keizai University 1

Criacao Shinjuku 2

Kashiwa Reysol -

TBD -

Senshu University 2

Tsukuba Univ. 1

Imabari -

TBD -

Blaublitz -

Yokohama F. Marinos -

TBD -

Fukushima United 7

Oyama 0

Mito -

TBD -

Kanazawa 1

Kyoto Sangyo 4

Urawa Reds -

TBD -

Yamanashi Gakuin 1

Tokyo International University 0

Omiya Ardija -

TBD -

Vanraure -

Cerezo Osaka -

TBD -

Gifu 3

Toyama Shinjo 1

Albirex Niigata -

TBD -

Kagoshima United 2

Renofa Yamaguchi 1

Kyoto -

TBD -

SRC Hiroshima 1

Maruyasu Okazaki 6

Montedio Yamagata -

TBD -

Fujieda MYFC -

Shimizu S-Pulse -

TBD -

Nara Club 1

FC Osaka 4

V-Varen Nagasaki -

TBD -

Ehime 2

International Pacific Univesity 1

Machida Zelvia -

TBD -

Iwate Grulla Morioka 1

Sapporo University FC 0

Vegalta Sendai -

TBD -

Tochigi City -

FC Tokyo -

TBD -

Nagano Parceiro 2

Fukui Utd. 1

Shonan Bellmare -

TBD -

Reinmeer Aomori 15

Akita University 0

1/32-finals

Kashima Antlers 3

Atletico Suzuka 0

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1

Kofu 3

Nagoya Grampus 1

Gainare Tottori 3

Verdy 4

Thespakusatsu Gunma 1

Kawasaki Frontale 3

Tochigi SC 1

Iwata 0

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1

Gamba Osaka 2

Reilac Shiga 0

Tokushima 3

FC Tokushima 0

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4

Okinawa 1

Iwaki 2

Oita Trinita 0

Okayama 3

Belugarosso Iwami 0

Chiba 2

Azul Claro Numazu 1

Vissel Kobe 2

Veroskronos Tsuno 1

Sagan Tosu 4

Toyama 0

Avispa Fukuoka 1

Verspah Oita 0

Yokohama FC 3

Criacao Shinjuku 1

Kashiwa Reysol 2

Senshu University 1

Imabari 4

Blaublitz 1

Yokohama F. Marinos 1

Fukushima United 0

Mito 0

Kyoto Sangyo 2

Urawa Reds 3

Yamanashi Gakuin 0

Omiya Ardija 2

Vanraure 0

Cerezo Osaka 3

Gifu 1

Albirex Niigata 0

Kagoshima United 4

Kyoto 1

Maruyasu Okazaki 0

Montedio Yamagata 3

Fujieda MYFC 5

Shimizu S-Pulse 2

FC Osaka 1

V-Varen Nagasaki 3

Ehime 2

Machida Zelvia 3

Iwate Grulla Morioka 0

Vegalta Sendai 1

Tochigi City 2

FC Tokyo 6

Nagano Parceiro 0

Shonan Bellmare 1

Reinmeer Aomori 0

1/16-finals

Kashima Antlers 3

Kofu 1

Gainare Tottori 0

Verdy 1

Kawasaki Frontale 2

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0

Gamba Osaka 5

Tokushima 0

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4

Iwaki 0

Okayama 1

Chiba 0

Vissel Kobe 1

Sagan Tosu 0

Avispa Fukuoka 0

Yokohama FC 1

Kashiwa Reysol 4

Imabari 0

Yokohama F. Marinos 2

Kyoto Sangyo 1

Urawa Reds 3

Omiya Ardija 2

Cerezo Osaka 2

Kagoshima United 0

Kyoto 1

Fujieda MYFC 0

Shimizu S-Pulse 2

V-Varen Nagasaki 1

Machida Zelvia 2

Tochigi City 1

FC Tokyo 4

Shonan Bellmare 0

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Shimizu S-Pulse vs V-Varen Nagasaki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan

Shimizu S-Pulse

V-Varen Nagasaki

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Shimizu S-Pulse Compare

V-Varen Nagasaki Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Shimizu S-Pulse

V-Varen Nagasaki

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Install Sokapicks PWA