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Shimizu S-Pulse vs Verdy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
04:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shimizu S-Pulse host Verdy in the J1 League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Shimizu S-Pulse have averaged 1.14 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against Verdy's 1.07 scored and 1.55 conceded. Past meetings favor Shimizu S-Pulse slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 25, 2025, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Verdy to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Shimizu S-Pulse
20%
Draws
70%
Verdy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Verdy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Shimizu S-Pulse carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Verdy a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Shimizu S-Pulse here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Shimizu S-Pulse Clean Sheet 23%
Verdy Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shimizu S-Pulse Verdy
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.14 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 J1 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Verdy
1:0
Feb 16, 2025 J1 League
Verdy vs Shimizu S-Pulse
0:1
Dec 2, 2023 J2 League
Verdy vs Shimizu S-Pulse
1:1
Aug 6, 2023 J2 League
Verdy vs Shimizu S-Pulse
0:1
Apr 8, 2023 J2 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Verdy
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shimizu S-Pulse 13 / 100
Verdy 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shimizu S-Pulse Verdy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Verdy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shimizu S-Pulse scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Verdy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Shimizu S-Pulse went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shimizu S-Pulse VS Verdy
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shimizu S-Pulse

(Home)
31 Oct
Kyoto
2 : 0
Shimizu S-Pulse
24 Oct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 0
Shimizu S-Pulse
21 Oct
Shimizu S-Pulse
0 : 5
Machida Zelvia
17 Oct
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 2
Gamba Osaka
14 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 1
Shimizu S-Pulse
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Verdy

(Away)
01 Nov
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 : 2
Verdy
24 Oct
Verdy
3 : 1
Avispa Fukuoka
21 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 2
Verdy
17 Oct
Verdy
0 : 4
FC Tokyo
11 Oct
Verdy
0 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Tokyo 13 9 3 1 31:8 30
2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 13 9 2 2 32:10 29
3 Machida Zelvia 13 8 4 1 30:10 28
4 Kashiwa Reysol 13 9 1 3 29:19 28
5 Vissel Kobe 13 8 2 3 21:12 26
6 Kashima Antlers 13 7 2 4 29:22 23
7 Kawasaki Frontale 13 6 4 3 27:22 22
8 Yokohama F. Marinos 13 5 6 2 20:14 21
9 Urawa Reds 13 7 0 6 21:27 21
10 Okayama 13 5 1 7 15:21 16
11 Nagoya Grampus 13 4 2 7 15:21 14
12 Cerezo Osaka 13 3 5 5 13:23 14
13 Shimizu S-Pulse 13 4 2 7 10:22 14
14 Kyoto 13 3 4 6 17:23 13
15 V-Varen Nagasaki 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
16 Gamba Osaka 13 2 6 5 14:21 12
17 Verdy 13 2 5 6 11:22 11
18 Chiba 13 2 4 7 15:24 10
19 Mito 13 2 3 8 12:25 9
20 Avispa Fukuoka 13 2 1 10 13:24 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)