Sport Picks
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan
J1 League 2026 IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka 
Match Events
56'
56'
Kozuka K.
Assist: Yumiba M.
61'
61'
Brunetti M.
62'
62'
Sub
Kondo T. In: Croux J.
Out: Kondo T.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this J1 League 2026 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Yokohama F. Marinos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Yokohama F. Marinos at 1.88 per game, Shimizu S-Pulse at 1.13.
- Model gives Yokohama F. Marinos a 90% chance of winning this.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Yokohama F. Marinos, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Shimizu S-Pulse Clean Sheet 23%
Yokohama F. Marinos Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shimizu S-Pulse | Yokohama F. Marinos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 15 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 6, 2026 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-Pulse
3:0
May 31, 2026 J1 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 J1 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1:3
Apr 16, 2025 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-Pulse
2:3
Jul 2, 2022 J1 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos
3:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shimizu S-Pulse Compare
Top Goalscorer Kozuka K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Yokohama F. Marinos Compare
Top Goalscorer Tanimura K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shimizu S-Pulse 10 / 100
Yokohama F. Marinos 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shimizu S-Pulse Yokohama F. Marinos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick YOK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.
Shimizu S-Pulse found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Yokohama F. Marinos has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Shimizu S-Pulse remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Shimizu S-Pulse VS Yokohama F. Marinos
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Shimizu S-Pulse
(Home) 18 Jul
Karlsruher
1 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
18 Jul
Karlsruher
1 : 3 Shimizu S-Pulse
14 Jul
Polissya Zhytomyr
1 : 3 Shimizu S-Pulse
06 Jun
Yokohama F. Marinos
3 : 0 Shimizu S-Pulse
31 May
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 1 Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 6
31 May
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 1 Yokohama F. Marinos
24 May
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 2 Gamba Osaka
10 May
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 Avispa Fukuoka
06 May
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 Cerezo Osaka
29 Apr
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 2 V-Varen Nagasaki
Page 1 of 3
Yokohama F. Marinos
(Away) 19 Jul
Yokohama F. Marinos
3 : 1 Kumamoto
15 Jul
Yokohama F. Marinos
1 : 1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
06 Jun
Yokohama F. Marinos
3 : 0 Shimizu S-Pulse
31 May
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 1 Yokohama F. Marinos
24 May
Verdy
0 : 6 Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 6
31 May
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 1 Yokohama F. Marinos
24 May
Verdy
0 : 6 Yokohama F. Marinos
06 May
Machida Zelvia
2 : 0 Yokohama F. Marinos
29 Apr
Chiba
2 : 3 Yokohama F. Marinos
25 Apr
Urawa Reds
2 : 3 Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
3rd place
Cerezo Osaka5
FC Tokyo3
Nagoya Grampus3
Machida Zelvia4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3
Kawasaki Frontale1
Gamba Osaka5
Verdy3
Okayama3
Urawa Reds1
Shimizu S-Pulse1
Yokohama F. Marinos4
Kyoto3
Kashiwa Reysol6
V-Varen Nagasaki2
Mito0
Avispa Fukuoka4
Chiba3
