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Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shimshon Tel Aviv host Beitar Nordia Jerusalem in the Liga Alef South. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Shimshon Tel Aviv have averaged 1.57 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Beitar Nordia Jerusalem's 1.26 scored and 2.09 conceded. Past meetings favor Beitar Nordia Jerusalem slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.44 - 0.50) back Shimshon Tel Aviv to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Shimshon Tel Aviv
15%
Draws
0%
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shimshon Tel Aviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Shimshon Tel Aviv carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Shimshon Tel Aviv a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Beitar Nordia Jerusalem here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Shimshon Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 20%
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shimshon Tel Aviv Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
Matches Played 21 23
Wins 11 4
Draws 5 4
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.57 1.26
Goals Conceded 1 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Liga Alef South
Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
1:1
Sep 5, 2025 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Shimshon Tel Aviv
1:0
Feb 12, 2025 Liga Alef South
Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
2:4
Oct 15, 2024 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Shimshon Tel Aviv
1:0
Mar 8, 2024 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Shimshon Tel Aviv
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shimshon Tel Aviv 85 / 100
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shimshon Tel Aviv Beitar Nordia Jerusalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shimshon Tel Aviv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shimshon Tel Aviv scored in 86% of their last 21 games.

Defensive concern: Beitar Nordia Jerusalem conceded in 87% of 23 recent games.

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Shimshon Tel Aviv VS Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
1.25 Goals Scored 0.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shimshon Tel Aviv

(Home)
09 Oct
Shimshon Tel Aviv
3 : 0
Kfar Saba 1928
30 Sept
Shimshon Tel Aviv
1 : 2
Ramat Hasharon
23 Sept
Hapoel Marmorek
1 : 2
Shimshon Tel Aviv
17 Sept
Shimshon Tel Aviv
3 : 1
Holon Yermiyahu
09 Sept
Hapoel Hadera
2 : 2
Shimshon Tel Aviv
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Beitar Nordia Jerusalem

(Away)
08 Oct
Holon Yermiyahu
5 : 0
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
30 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0 : 4
Hapoel Hadera
23 Sept
Ironi Beit Shemesh
1 : 0
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
18 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
1 : 3
Jerusalem FC
09 Sept
H. Herzliya
3 : 1
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Dimona 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Shimshon Tel Aviv 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
4 H. Herzliya 6 3 3 0 6:2 12
5 Ramat Hasharon 6 3 3 0 6:3 12
6 Jerusalem FC 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
7 Holon Yermiyahu 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
8 Maccabi Yavne 6 2 3 1 9:3 9
9 Hapoel Hadera 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
10 Hapoel Azor 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
11 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 6 1 4 1 8:7 7
12 Hapoel Sderot FC 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Ironi Beit Shemesh 6 2 1 3 8:14 7
14 Hapoel Marmorek 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
15 Kfar Saba 1928 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
16 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 6 0 3 3 4:8 3
17 Tzeirei Tira 6 0 0 6 2:13 0
18 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 6 0 0 6 2:18 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)