Sport Picks
Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Holon Yermiyahu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Israel
Liga Alef South 
Match Events
31'
31'
Azar A.
33'
33'
Falah Y.
37'
37'
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
Shimshon Tel Aviv in this Liga Alef South matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shimshon Tel Aviv.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shimshon Tel Aviv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Shimshon Tel Aviv have won more games recently than Holon Yermiyahu.
- 45% — that's where the model lands on Shimshon Tel Aviv taking it.
- Regular Liga Alef South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Shimshon Tel Aviv have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Shimshon Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 68%
Holon Yermiyahu Clean Sheet 21%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shimshon Tel Aviv | Holon Yermiyahu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 22 | 23 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.05 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2026 Liga Alef South
Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Holon Yermiyahu
3:1
Feb 5, 2026 Liga Alef South
Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Holon Yermiyahu
2:0
Oct 5, 2025 Liga Alef South
Holon Yermiyahu vs Shimshon Tel Aviv
2:4
Jan 17, 2025 Liga Alef South
Holon Yermiyahu vs Shimshon Tel Aviv
0:1
Sep 17, 2024 Liga Alef South
Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Holon Yermiyahu
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shimshon Tel Aviv Compare
Top Goalscorer Azar A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Falah Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Holon Yermiyahu Compare
Top Goalscorer Marciano L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shimshon Tel Aviv 77 / 100
Holon Yermiyahu 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shimshon Tel Aviv Holon Yermiyahu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Shimshon Tel Aviv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Shimshon Tel Aviv scored in 82% of their last 22 outings.
Holon Yermiyahu has conceded goals in 61% of their last 23 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Shimshon Tel Aviv went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Shimshon Tel Aviv VS Holon Yermiyahu
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 13%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Shimshon Tel Aviv
(Home) 09 Oct
Shimshon Tel Aviv
3 : 0 Kfar Saba 1928
30 Sept
Shimshon Tel Aviv
1 : 2 Ramat Hasharon
23 Sept
Hapoel Marmorek
1 : 2 Shimshon Tel Aviv
17 Sept
Shimshon Tel Aviv
3 : 1 Holon Yermiyahu
09 Sept
Hapoel Hadera
2 : 2 Shimshon Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 5
09 Oct
Shimshon Tel Aviv
3 : 0 Kfar Saba 1928
30 Sept
Shimshon Tel Aviv
1 : 2 Ramat Hasharon
17 Sept
Shimshon Tel Aviv
3 : 1 Holon Yermiyahu
03 Sept
Shimshon Tel Aviv
2 : 0 Ironi Beit Shemesh
26 Feb
Shimshon Tel Aviv
4 : 2 Ramat Hasharon
Page 1 of 3
Holon Yermiyahu
(Away) 08 Oct
Holon Yermiyahu
5 : 0 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
30 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
2 : 0 Holon Yermiyahu
24 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 0 Kfar Saba 1928
17 Sept
Shimshon Tel Aviv
3 : 1 Holon Yermiyahu
09 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 0 Hapoel Marmorek
Page 1 of 5
30 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
2 : 0 Holon Yermiyahu
17 Sept
Shimshon Tel Aviv
3 : 1 Holon Yermiyahu
20 Feb
Maccabi Yavne
1 : 1 Holon Yermiyahu
05 Feb
Shimshon Tel Aviv
2 : 0 Holon Yermiyahu
16 Jan
Hapoel Azor
2 : 0 Holon Yermiyahu
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Dimona | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:8 | 15 |
| 2 | Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:3 | 14 |
| 3 | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 13 |
| 4 | H. Herzliya | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6:2 | 12 |
| 5 | Ramat Hasharon | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 12 |
| 6 | Jerusalem FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Holon Yermiyahu | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 8 | Maccabi Yavne | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 9 | Hapoel Hadera | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 10 | Hapoel Azor | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 8 |
| 11 | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 12 | Hapoel Sderot FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 13 | Ironi Beit Shemesh | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:14 | 7 |
| 14 | Hapoel Marmorek | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 15 | Kfar Saba 1928 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 16 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 17 | Tzeirei Tira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2:13 | 0 |
| 18 | Beitar Nordia Jerusalem | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2:18 | 0 |
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)
