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Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Kamaz

Russia Russia

FNL Stadion Shinnik, Yaroslavl
Fri, Sep 18, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shinnik Yaroslavl host Kamaz in the FNL. Little to choose between these two on current form. Kamaz have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while Shinnik Yaroslavl have conceded 0.76 and scored 1.45. Head-to-head, Shinnik Yaroslavl have won 1 to Kamaz's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.00) point toward Shinnik Yaroslavl. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Shinnik Yaroslavl
35%
Draws
20%
Kamaz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shinnik Yaroslavl

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shinnik Yaroslavl come out ahead of Kamaz on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Shinnik Yaroslavl's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Shinnik Yaroslavl Clean Sheet 68%
Kamaz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shinnik Yaroslavl Kamaz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 5
Draws 14 11
Losses 2 13
Goals Scored 1.45 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Kamaz
0:0
Sep 20, 2025 FNL
Kamaz vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
0:0
Mar 15, 2025 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Kamaz
1:0
Sep 29, 2024 FNL
Kamaz vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
3:0
Nov 18, 2023 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Kamaz
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shinnik Yaroslavl 95 / 100
Kamaz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shinnik Yaroslavl Kamaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shinnik Yaroslavl Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shinnik Yaroslavl's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Shinnik Yaroslavl stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Kamaz let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Shinnik Yaroslavl VS Kamaz
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shinnik Yaroslavl

(Home)
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1
Ural
10 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0
Torpedo Moscow
05 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 2
R. Volgograd
30 Aug
Yenisey
0 : 0
Shinnik Yaroslavl
22 Aug
Ulyanovsk
1 : 3
Shinnik Yaroslavl
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Kamaz

(Away)
14 Sept
Kamaz
1 : 1
Chelyabinsk
09 Sept
Kirov
1 : 0
Kamaz
06 Sept
Ural
2 : 0
Kamaz
29 Aug
Leningradets
0 : 1
Kamaz
24 Aug
Kamaz
2 : 3
PFC Sochi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 11 9 1 1 30:14 28
2 PFC Sochi 11 7 1 3 20:13 22
3 Veles Moscow 11 7 1 3 15:13 22
4 S. Kostroma 10 6 3 1 14:8 21
5 Torpedo Moscow 10 6 1 3 20:8 19
6 Ural 10 5 4 1 17:5 19
7 Ufa 10 4 5 1 15:11 17
8 Shinnik Yaroslavl 10 3 6 1 15:12 15
9 R. Volgograd 11 4 2 5 18:14 14
10 Arsenal Tula 11 3 4 4 11:19 13
11 Neftekhimik 11 4 0 7 7:14 12
12 Ulyanovsk 10 3 2 5 14:16 11
13 Leningradets 10 2 4 4 9:14 10
14 Yenisey 10 2 4 4 11:18 10
15 Chelyabinsk 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
16 Tekstilshtik 11 1 4 6 8:17 7
17 Kamaz 11 1 3 7 10:19 6
18 SKA Khabarovsk 10 1 1 8 10:22 4
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)