Sport Picks

Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Stadion Shinnik

Kamaz

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Shinnik Yaroslavl play Kamaz in the FNL 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shinnik Yaroslavl averaged 1.28 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. Kamaz averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Shinnik Yaroslavl won 1, Kamaz won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Shinnik Yaroslavl and 0.75 for Kamaz. This points to a Shinnik Yaroslavl double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Shinnik Yaroslavl

35%

Draws

30%

Kamaz

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shinnik Yaroslavl

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Shinnik Yaroslavl picked up more points recently compared to Kamaz.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 0.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 60%

Over 2.5 Goals 35%

Over 3.5 Goals 21%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Shinnik Yaroslavl Clean Sheet 27%

Kamaz Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 54%

Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shinnik Yaroslavl	Kamaz
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	12	10
Draws	11	12
Losses	6	7
Goals Scored	1.28	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.83	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 FNL

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Kamaz

Possession: 44% - 43% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Sep 20, 2025 FNL

Kamaz vs Shinnik Yaroslavl

Possession: 57% - 58% Cards: 1 - 4

0:0

Mar 15, 2025 FNL

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Kamaz

Possession: 42% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Sep 29, 2024 FNL

Kamaz vs Shinnik Yaroslavl

Possession: 45% - 57% Cards: 3 - 4

3:0

Nov 18, 2023 FNL

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Kamaz

Possession: 54% - 42% Cards: 3 - 3

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shinnik Yaroslavl 37 / 100

Kamaz 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shinnik Yaroslavl Kamaz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Shinnik Yaroslavl or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +20.8%

3.45

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shinnik Yaroslavl attacking → ← attacking Kamaz

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shinnik Yaroslavl scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Kamaz let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Shinnik Yaroslavl went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Kamaz lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 42

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rodina Moscow	34	19	11	4	58:28	68
2	Fakel Voronezh	34	20	8	6	44:22	68
3	Ural	34	18	7	9	51:31	61
4	R. Volgograd	34	15	11	8	47:26	56
5	Kamaz	34	12	13	9	46:34	49
6	Yenisey	34	13	10	11	37:35	49
7	S. Kostroma	34	12	13	9	46:41	49
8	Shinnik Yaroslavl	34	11	15	8	34:28	48
9	Torpedo Moscow	34	12	10	12	37:39	46
10	Chelyabinsk	34	10	14	10	42:40	44
11	Neftekhimik	34	10	13	11	40:41	43
12	SKA Khabarovsk	34	10	12	12	37:45	42
13	Arsenal Tula	34	8	15	11	42:44	39
14	Ulyanovsk	34	9	10	15	35:48	37
15	Ufa	34	9	10	15	32:40	37
16	Chernomorets Novorossijsk	34	9	8	17	37:49	35
17	Saratov	34	5	11	18	16:44	26
18	FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye	34	5	7	22	30:76	22