Sport Picks

Russia

FNL Stadion Shinnik

PFC Sochi

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Shinnik Yaroslavl play PFC Sochi in the FNL. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shinnik Yaroslavl averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. PFC Sochi averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Shinnik Yaroslavl won 2, PFC Sochi won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 12, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Shinnik Yaroslavl and 1.31 for PFC Sochi. This points to a Shinnik Yaroslavl double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Shinnik Yaroslavl

33%

Draws

27%

PFC Sochi

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Shinnik Yaroslavl

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Shinnik Yaroslavl has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to PFC Sochi.
Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Shinnik Yaroslavl.
League standings and seasonal metrics in FNL provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Shinnik Yaroslavl Clean Sheet 68%

PFC Sochi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shinnik Yaroslavl	PFC Sochi
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	11	9
Draws	11	7
Losses	6	11
Goals Scored	1.63	1.88
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 FNL

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs PFC Sochi

Possession: 49% - 50% Cards: 4 - 1

2:2

Mar 23, 2025 FNL

PFC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl

Possession: 41% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Aug 4, 2024 FNL

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs PFC Sochi

Possession: 54% - 48% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Sep 25, 2019 Russian Cup

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs PFC Sochi

Possession: 57% - 50% Cards: 0 - 1

1:0

May 19, 2019 FNL

PFC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl

Possession: 49% - 40% Cards: 0 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shinnik Yaroslavl 50 / 100

PFC Sochi 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shinnik Yaroslavl PFC Sochi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shinnik Yaroslavl scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

PFC Sochi let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Shinnik Yaroslavl went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

PFC Sochi lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shinnik Yaroslavl VS PFC Sochi

1.63 Goals Scored 1.88

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Ufa	1	1	0	3:0	3
2	Yenisey	1	1	0	2:1	3
3	Veles Moscow	1	1	0	1:0	3
4	Torpedo Moscow	0	0	0	0:0	0
5	SKA Khabarovsk	0	0	0	0:0	0
6	Kamaz	0	0	0	0:0	0
7	Ural	0	0	0	0:0	0
8	Tekstilshtik	0	0	0	0:0	0
9	Shinnik Yaroslavl	0	0	0	0:0	0
10	Chelyabinsk	0	0	0	0:0	0
11	R. Volgograd	0	0	0	0:0	0
12	Arsenal Tula	0	0	0	0:0	0
13	S. Kostroma	0	0	0	0:0	0
14	Pari Nizhny Novgorod	0	0	0	0:0	0
15	PFC Sochi	0	0	0	0:0	0
16	Ulyanovsk	1	0	1	1:2	0
17	Neftekhimik	1	0	1	0:1	0
18	Leningradets	1	0	1	0:3	0