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Shinnik Yaroslavl vs SKA Khabarovsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Stadion Shinnik, Yaroslavl
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Mukhin A.
17'
Savichev K.
46'
Sub
Mosin E. In: Shkolik I.
Out: Mosin E.

AI Match Summary

The FNL game between Shinnik Yaroslavl and SKA Khabarovsk finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Shinnik Yaroslavl
35%
Draws
30%
SKA Khabarovsk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Shinnik Yaroslavl carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Shinnik Yaroslavl taking it.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Shinnik Yaroslavl Clean Sheet 20%
SKA Khabarovsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shinnik Yaroslavl SKA Khabarovsk
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 4
Draws 15 9
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 1.29 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs SKA Khabarovsk
0:0
Apr 26, 2026 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs SKA Khabarovsk
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
3:1
Mar 9, 2025 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs SKA Khabarovsk
0:1
Aug 10, 2024 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shinnik Yaroslavl 42 / 100
SKA Khabarovsk 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shinnik Yaroslavl SKA Khabarovsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shinnik Yaroslavl scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

SKA Khabarovsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Shinnik Yaroslavl has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shinnik Yaroslavl VS SKA Khabarovsk
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shinnik Yaroslavl

(Home)
10 Oct
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0
Tekstilshtik
27 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 0
SKA Khabarovsk
18 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 1
Kamaz
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1
Ural
10 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0
Torpedo Moscow
Page 1 of 6

SKA Khabarovsk

(Away)
10 Oct
SKA Khabarovsk
3 : 3
Kamaz
27 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 0
SKA Khabarovsk
18 Sept
PFC Sochi
1 : 1
SKA Khabarovsk
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk
09 Sept
Krasnoye Znamya
0 : 4
SKA Khabarovsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 13 11 1 1 41:14 34
2 Veles Moscow 14 8 2 4 19:17 26
3 Ural 13 7 4 2 21:8 25
4 Torpedo Moscow 13 7 3 3 24:10 24
5 S. Kostroma 13 7 3 3 18:13 24
6 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
7 Shinnik Yaroslavl 13 4 7 2 17:13 19
8 R. Volgograd 13 5 3 5 22:16 18
9 Ufa 12 4 6 2 16:13 18
10 Arsenal Tula 13 4 4 5 15:24 16
11 Chelyabinsk 13 4 3 6 17:21 15
12 Ulyanovsk 14 4 3 7 18:21 15
13 Yenisey 13 3 5 5 15:25 14
14 Leningradets 13 3 4 6 11:23 13
15 Neftekhimik 13 4 0 9 9:19 12
16 Kamaz 13 2 4 7 14:22 10
17 SKA Khabarovsk 13 1 4 8 14:26 7
18 Tekstilshtik 13 1 4 8 8:21 7
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)