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Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshtik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Stadion Shinnik, Yaroslavl
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Kotin N.
15' Event
Chistyakov N.
27'
Valiakhmetov E.

AI Match Summary

Shinnik Yaroslavl in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shinnik Yaroslavl.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Shinnik Yaroslavl
35%
Draws
26%
Tekstilshtik
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shinnik Yaroslavl

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shinnik Yaroslavl lately — more wins on the board than Tekstilshtik.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Shinnik Yaroslavl taking it.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Shinnik Yaroslavl Clean Sheet 68%
Tekstilshtik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shinnik Yaroslavl Tekstilshtik
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 15 6
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshtik
2:0
Apr 17, 2021 FNL
Tekstilshtik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
0:0
Oct 24, 2020 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshtik
0:3
Nov 23, 2019 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshtik
3:0
Aug 21, 2019 Russian Cup
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshtik
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shinnik Yaroslavl Compare

Top Goalscorer Kotin N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chistyakov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Tekstilshtik Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shinnik Yaroslavl 59 / 100
Tekstilshtik 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shinnik Yaroslavl Tekstilshtik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shinnik Yaroslavl Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shinnik Yaroslavl found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Tekstilshtik has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Shinnik Yaroslavl has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shinnik Yaroslavl VS Tekstilshtik
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shinnik Yaroslavl

(Home)
27 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 0
SKA Khabarovsk
18 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 1
Kamaz
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1
Ural
10 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0
Torpedo Moscow
05 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 2
R. Volgograd
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Tekstilshtik

(Away)
03 Oct
Orenburg
3 : 2
Tekstilshtik
17 Sept
Tekstilshtik
0 : 2
R. Volgograd
13 Sept
Leningradets
2 : 2
Tekstilshtik
08 Sept
Tekstilshtik
1 : 0
Arsenal Tula
04 Sept
Tekstilshtik
1 : 4
Torpedo Moscow
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 12 10 1 1 36:14 31
2 Veles Moscow 14 8 2 4 19:17 26
3 Ural 13 7 4 2 21:8 25
4 S. Kostroma 13 7 3 3 18:13 24
5 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
6 Torpedo Moscow 12 6 3 3 21:9 21
7 Ufa 12 4 6 2 16:13 18
8 R. Volgograd 12 5 2 5 20:14 17
9 Arsenal Tula 13 4 4 5 15:24 16
10 Shinnik Yaroslavl 12 3 7 2 15:13 16
11 Chelyabinsk 13 4 3 6 17:21 15
12 Yenisey 12 3 5 4 15:20 14
13 Ulyanovsk 13 4 2 7 16:19 14
14 Leningradets 12 3 4 5 10:20 13
15 Neftekhimik 13 4 0 9 9:19 12
16 Kamaz 13 2 4 7 14:22 10
17 Tekstilshtik 12 1 4 7 8:19 7
18 SKA Khabarovsk 13 1 4 8 14:26 7
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