Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shirak Gyumri 2 vs Araks Ararat - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

First League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this First League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Shirak Gyumri 2
30%
Draws
31%
Araks Ararat
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shirak Gyumri 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Araks Ararat lately — more wins on the board than Shirak Gyumri 2.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Araks Ararat here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Shirak Gyumri 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Araks Ararat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shirak Gyumri 2 Araks Ararat
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.2 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.73 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 First League
Shirak Gyumri 2 vs Araks Ararat
1:1
Mar 17, 2026 First League
Araks Ararat vs Shirak Gyumri 2
2:1
Aug 28, 2025 First League
Shirak Gyumri 2 vs Araks Ararat
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shirak Gyumri 2 30 / 100
Araks Ararat 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shirak Gyumri 2 Araks Ararat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araks Ararat has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Shirak Gyumri 2 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Shirak Gyumri 2's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Shirak Gyumri 2 VS Araks Ararat
1 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shirak Gyumri 2

(Home)
09 Oct
Pyunik Yerevan 2
1 : 2
Shirak Gyumri 2
21 Sept
Shirak Gyumri 2
2 : 1
Noah 2
15 Sept
Olympia Yerevan
3 : 0
Shirak Gyumri 2
19 Aug
Ararat Yerevan 2
1 : 2
Shirak Gyumri 2
15 Aug
Shirak Gyumri 2
1 : 1
Araks Ararat
Page 1 of 6

Araks Ararat

(Away)
08 Oct
Lernayin Artsakh
1 : 2
Araks Ararat
21 Sept
Araks Ararat
0 : 0
BKMA 2
15 Sept
Pyunik Yerevan 2
0 : 2
Araks Ararat
07 Sept
Araks Ararat
1 : 1
Noah 2
01 Sept
Olympia Yerevan
2 : 1
Araks Ararat
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olympia Yerevan 7 6 1 0 18:5 19
2 Andranik 8 5 1 2 21:9 16
3 BKMA 2 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
4 Bentonit 8 4 3 1 25:16 15
5 Araks Ararat 7 3 3 1 10:6 12
6 Lernayin Artsakh 8 4 0 4 17:16 12
7 Pyunik Yerevan 2 9 3 2 4 14:16 11
8 Mika 8 3 2 3 15:16 11
9 Shirak Gyumri 2 7 3 1 3 7:12 10
10 Urartu 2 8 1 5 2 11:17 8
11 Ararat Yerevan 2 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
12 Noah 2 8 1 3 4 8:20 6
13 Ararat-Armenia 2 8 1 2 5 8:16 5
14 Sardarapat 2 8 1 0 7 6:18 3
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)